Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Constancia vs Alcudia - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Our Tip

Match Events

30' Event
Ramis T.
70' Event
Ferrer M.

AI Match Summary

Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Constancia
15%
Draws
32%
Alcudia
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than Alcudia.
  • Model gives Constancia a 53% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 11 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Constancia Clean Sheet 18%
Alcudia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Alcudia
Matches Played 33 34
Wins 20 15
Draws 7 5
Losses 6 14
Goals Scored 1.88 1.56
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.65
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
2:0
Mar 8, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
5:0
Oct 25, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Constancia
1:0
May 3, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Alcudia
5:2
Dec 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Alcudia vs Constancia
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramis T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ferrer M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Alcudia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 85 / 100
Alcudia 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Alcudia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Constancia scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Alcudia has conceded goals in 74% of their last 34 outings.

Solid form: Constancia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Alcudia
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 7

Alcudia

(Away)
04 Oct
Cardassar
6 : 2
Alcudia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
19 Sept
Alcudia
1 : 2
Santanyi
12 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Alcudia
06 Sept
Alcudia
5 : 0
Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)