Sport Picks
Constancia vs CD Ferrerias
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 
AI Match Summary
The Tercera Division - Group 11 2010/2011 game between Constancia and CD Ferrerias finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
62%
30%
8%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
62%
/ High Confidence
- CD Ferrerias haven't matched Constancia's recent run of results.
- 62% — that's where the model lands on Constancia taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 5 times recently and Constancia have taken 5 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
CD Ferrerias Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | CD Ferrerias |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 2.06 | 0.67 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.81 | 2.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.48 | 0.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 10, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs CD Ferrerias
4:0
Oct 16, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Constancia
2:5
Mar 5, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs CD Ferrerias
3:0
Oct 16, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
CD Ferrerias vs Constancia
0:1
Feb 14, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs CD Ferrerias
1:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Constancia 85 / 100
CD Ferrerias 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Constancia CD Ferrerias
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.
Defensive concern: CD Ferrerias conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.20 goals as a typical output.
Constancia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Constancia VS -
1.75 Goals Scored 0
0.88 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home) 13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
Page 1 of 7
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
01 Apr
Constancia
3 : 0 Santanyi
Page 1 of 3
CD Ferrerias
(Away) 13 May
Espana
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
06 May
CD Ferrerias
0 : 1 Mercadal
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
28 Apr
CD Ferrerias
2 : 2 Atletico Isleno
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0 CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Espana
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
01 May
Platges de Calvia
3 : 1 CD Ferrerias
21 Apr
Santanyi
6 : 0 CD Ferrerias
14 Apr
CD Montuiri
4 : 0 CD Ferrerias
25 Mar
Llosetense
5 : 0 CD Ferrerias
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manacor | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 51:23 | 79 |
| 2 | UD Poblense | 38 | 24 | 6 | 8 | 71:44 | 78 |
| 3 | Constancia | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 62:25 | 78 |
| 4 | Binissalem | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 63:30 | 76 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 38 | 23 | 6 | 9 | 70:44 | 75 |
| 6 | Pena Deportiva | 38 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 53:25 | 69 |
| 7 | Santanyi | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 53:43 | 63 |
| 8 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 38 | 12 | 18 | 8 | 47:36 | 54 |
| 9 | Mercadal | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 55:45 | 52 |
| 10 | Collerense | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 40:49 | 47 |
| 11 | CD Montuiri | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 46:58 | 46 |
| 12 | Ferriolense | 38 | 12 | 8 | 18 | 48:55 | 44 |
| 13 | Campos | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 43:52 | 44 |
| 14 | Alcudia | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 43:61 | 43 |
| 15 | Felanitx | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 36:56 | 42 |
| 16 | CD Ferrerias | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 41:51 | 41 |
| 17 | Alaior | 38 | 10 | 8 | 20 | 35:61 | 38 |
| 18 | Penya Arrabal | 38 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 45:78 | 27 |
| 19 | Norteno CF | 38 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 24:56 | 27 |
| 20 | Arenal | 38 | 6 | 7 | 25 | 32:66 | 25 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2010/2011 (Main)
