Sport Picks
Constancia vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 
AI Match Summary
Constancia in this Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constancia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
54%
30%
16%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Constancia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
54%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Constancia lately — more wins on the board than El Espinar Sant Rafel.
- Win probability leans Constancia's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
El Espinar Sant Rafel Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Constancia | El Espinar Sant Rafel |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 40 | 31 |
| Wins | 28 | 7 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 6 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.95 | 0.97 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.6 | 1.68 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 0.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 6, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
1:0
Oct 9, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Constancia
1:2
Apr 19, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Constancia
0:0
Dec 1, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs El Espinar Sant Rafel
0:1
May 11, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
El Espinar Sant Rafel vs Constancia
3:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Constancia 95 / 100
El Espinar Sant Rafel 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Constancia El Espinar Sant Rafel
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Constancia scored in 93% of their last 40 games.
El Espinar Sant Rafel's defensive record shows goals conceded in 74% of 31 matches.
These sides typically produce 1.60 goals when they meet.
Constancia went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Constancia VS El Espinar Sant Rafel
3 Goals Scored 0.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.5
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Constancia
(Home) 26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0 Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0 Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1 Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1 Constancia
Page 1 of 8
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0 Alcudia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0 Arenal
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1 Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0 Inter Ibiza
19 Apr
Constancia
4 : 0 Collerense
Page 1 of 5
El Espinar Sant Rafel
(Away) 27 Sept
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 5 Prat
01 May
El Espinar Sant Rafel
1 : 1 Murense
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
14 Apr
El Espinar Sant Rafel
2 : 3 Rotlet Molinar
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
Page 1 of 7
24 Apr
Platges de Calvia
5 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
10 Apr
PE Sant Jordi
2 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
27 Mar
UD Poblense
1 : 2 El Espinar Sant Rafel
16 Mar
Collerense
2 : 1 El Espinar Sant Rafel
12 Mar
Llosetense
1 : 0 El Espinar Sant Rafel
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mallorca B | 40 | 32 | 5 | 3 | 105:27 | 101 |
| 2 | Manacor | 40 | 26 | 4 | 10 | 74:42 | 82 |
| 3 | UD Poblense | 40 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 89:24 | 80 |
| 4 | Platges de Calvia | 40 | 22 | 11 | 7 | 56:27 | 77 |
| 5 | Llosetense | 40 | 22 | 9 | 9 | 62:36 | 75 |
| 6 | Santanyi | 40 | 23 | 6 | 11 | 66:46 | 75 |
| 7 | Constancia | 40 | 20 | 9 | 11 | 54:38 | 69 |
| 8 | PE Sant Jordi | 40 | 20 | 8 | 12 | 57:46 | 68 |
| 9 | Portmany | 40 | 17 | 11 | 12 | 55:51 | 62 |
| 10 | Collerense | 40 | 17 | 7 | 16 | 45:49 | 58 |
| 11 | Soller | 40 | 16 | 9 | 15 | 46:52 | 57 |
| 12 | Binissalem | 40 | 13 | 12 | 15 | 40:44 | 51 |
| 13 | Mercadal | 40 | 11 | 12 | 17 | 54:51 | 45 |
| 14 | Inter Ibiza | 40 | 12 | 7 | 21 | 51:62 | 43 |
| 15 | Rotlet Molinar | 40 | 11 | 9 | 20 | 35:53 | 42 |
| 16 | El Espinar Sant Rafel | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 48:64 | 40 |
| 17 | Campos | 40 | 10 | 10 | 20 | 38:64 | 40 |
| 18 | Felanitx | 40 | 9 | 11 | 20 | 43:65 | 38 |
| 19 | Serverense | 40 | 8 | 7 | 25 | 35:74 | 31 |
| 20 | Murense | 40 | 5 | 8 | 27 | 31:76 | 23 |
| 21 | Son Veri | 40 | 4 | 3 | 33 | 28:121 | 15 |
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2021/2022 (Play Offs)
