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Constancia vs Porreres - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Sat, Oct 10, 2026
VS
10:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Constancia host Porreres in the Tercera RFEF - Group 11. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Constancia at 1.88 goals for, 0.7 against; Porreres at 1.06 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Constancia slightly — 0-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 16, 2025, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.56 - 0.94) back Constancia to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Constancia
15%
Draws
32%
Porreres
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Constancia have won more games recently than Porreres.
  • Constancia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Constancia Clean Sheet 20%
Porreres Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Porreres
Matches Played 33 32
Wins 20 12
Draws 7 4
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.88 1.06
Goals Conceded 0.7 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 16, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Porreres
2:2
Oct 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Porreres vs Constancia
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 85 / 100
Porreres 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Porreres

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Constancia scored in 91% of their last 33 outings.

Porreres has conceded goals in 81% of their last 32 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Constancia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Porreres
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
03 Oct
Mercadal
1 : 3
Constancia
26 Sept
Constancia
2 : 0
Alcudia
20 Sept
Cardassar
1 : 0
Constancia
13 Sept
Santanyi
1 : 1
Constancia
05 Sept
Constancia
3 : 0
Arenal
Page 1 of 7

Porreres

(Away)
04 Oct
Porreres
0 : 1
Santanyi
26 Sept
Arenal
1 : 2
Porreres
20 Sept
Porreres
2 : 1
Inter Ibiza
13 Sept
Formentera
3 : 1
Porreres
09 Sept
Binefar
1 : 0
Porreres
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Manacor 5 5 0 0 15:5 15
2 SD Ibiza 5 4 1 0 8:2 13
3 Cardassar 5 3 1 1 10:4 10
4 Constancia 5 3 1 1 9:3 10
5 Llosetense 5 3 1 1 8:3 10
6 Platges de Calvia 5 3 0 2 9:5 9
7 Santanyi 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
8 Porreres 5 3 0 2 7:6 9
9 Formentera 5 2 2 1 7:4 8
10 PE Sant Jordi 5 2 2 1 7:7 8
11 Alcudia 5 2 0 3 10:11 6
12 Mercadal 5 1 2 2 6:7 5
13 Andratx 5 1 2 2 4:6 5
14 Binissalem 5 1 0 4 5:9 3
15 Arenal 5 1 0 4 5:11 3
16 Migjorn 5 1 0 4 4:12 3
17 Inter Ibiza 5 0 1 4 2:12 1
18 Sineu 5 0 0 5 3:14 0
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 (Play Offs)