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Constancia vs Portmany

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Ramon M.
55' Event
Horrach B.
70' Event
Llabres M.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 game between Constancia and Portmany finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Constancia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Constancia
35%
Draws
25%
Portmany
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Constancia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Constancia come out ahead of Portmany on wins alone.
  • Constancia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Constancia Clean Sheet 68%
Portmany Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constancia Portmany
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 15 7
Draws 5 6
Losses 9 17
Goals Scored 1.83 0.77
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
0:1
Sep 6, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Portmany
4:0
Feb 1, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Constancia vs Portmany
5:0
Sep 22, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
1:1
Apr 21, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 11
Portmany vs Constancia
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constancia Compare

Top Goalscorer Ramon M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Horrach B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Portmany Compare

Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constancia 95 / 100
Portmany 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constancia Portmany

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constancia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Constancia scored in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Portmany let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Constancia stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constancia VS Portmany
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constancia

(Home)
24 May
Pena Deportiva
2 : 1
Constancia
17 May
Constancia
1 : 1
Pena Deportiva
10 May
Constancia
3 : 0
Inter Ibiza
03 May
Rotlet Molinar
1 : 3
Constancia
25 Apr
Llosetense
1 : 1
Constancia
Page 1 of 6

Portmany

(Away)
10 May
Portmany
0 : 1
Rotlet Molinar
02 May
Collerense
2 : 1
Portmany
26 Apr
Portmany
1 : 1
Santanyi
18 Apr
CD Son Cladera
1 : 1
Portmany
11 Apr
Portmany
3 : 1
Alcudia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Mallorca B 34 26 6 2 105:22 84
2 Manacor 34 24 5 5 71:39 77
3 Pena Deportiva 34 20 8 6 69:30 68
4 Constancia 34 19 5 10 62:29 62
5 Llosetense 34 16 10 8 59:40 58
6 Formentera 34 13 13 8 40:29 52
7 Inter Ibiza 34 15 5 14 42:43 50
8 Mercadal 34 15 4 15 31:45 49
9 Cardassar 34 12 8 14 38:55 44
10 Platges de Calvia 34 12 6 16 41:43 42
11 Binissalem 34 10 11 13 26:34 41
12 Santanyi 34 11 8 15 43:58 41
13 Alcudia 34 11 5 18 37:62 38
14 CD Son Cladera 34 11 5 18 41:63 38
15 Portmany 34 8 6 20 25:50 30
16 Collerense 34 6 10 18 41:64 28
17 Felanitx 34 5 11 18 32:62 26
18 Rotlet Molinar 34 5 8 21 34:69 23
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 11 2025/2026 (Play Offs)