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Stadium Background

Constantine vs MC Alger - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui, Constantine
Our Tip

Match Events

20'
Chikhi A.
36'
Khelif M.
51'

AI Match Summary

Constantine in this Ligue 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Constantine.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Constantine
20%
Draws
47%
MC Alger
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: MC Alger

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to MC Alger lately — more wins on the board than Constantine.
  • 33% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 73%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Constantine Clean Sheet 68%
MC Alger Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine MC Alger
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 13 17
Draws 8 5
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.54 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.76
Expected Goals (xG) 1.03 1.46
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 16, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs MC Alger
2:0
Jan 5, 2026 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Constantine
1:0
Feb 28, 2025 Ligue 1
MC Alger vs Constantine
2:1
Oct 6, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs MC Alger
1:1
Apr 23, 2024 Algeria Cup
MC Alger vs Constantine
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constantine Compare

Top Goalscorer Omoyele T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.79
Avg xA / game 0.52

MC Alger Compare

Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.81

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 41 / 100
MC Alger 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine MC Alger

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constantine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Constantine scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Constantine went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

MC Alger's defensive record shows goals conceded in 45% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS MC Alger
1.43 Goals Scored 1.63
1.29 Goals Conceded 0.63
71% Over 1.5 75%
57% Over 2.5 25%
43% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
07 Oct
Constantine
4 : 0
Biskra
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
Page 1 of 6

MC Alger

(Away)
18 Sept
MC Alger
2 : 0
Rouisset
12 Sept
MC Alger
5 : 0
Nigelec
06 Sept
Nigelec
0 : 0
MC Alger
03 Aug
Al Shabab
3 : 1
MC Alger
29 Jul
Al Hilal
0 : 2
MC Alger
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)