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Stadium Background

Constantine vs Oran - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Algeria Algeria

Ligue 1 2025/2026 Stadium Mohamed Hamlaoui, Constantine
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Merbah M.
20' Event
Bourdim A.
45'
Merbah M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligue 1 2025/2026 game between Constantine and Oran finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Oran.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Constantine
30%
Draws
43%
Oran
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Oran

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

27% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Oran come out ahead of Constantine on wins alone.
  • Constantine are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Ligue 1 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Constantine Clean Sheet 68%
Oran Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Constantine Oran
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 12 13
Draws 8 6
Losses 8 7
Goals Scored 1.39 1.19
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.92
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 3, 2026 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Oran
0:1
Nov 1, 2025 Ligue 1
Oran vs Constantine
1:0
May 22, 2025 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Oran
2:2
Nov 2, 2024 Ligue 1
Oran vs Constantine
1:0
Jun 7, 2024 Ligue 1
Constantine vs Oran
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Constantine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Oran Compare

Top Goalscorer Bourdim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Constantine 50 / 100
Oran 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Constantine Oran

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Constantine Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Constantine found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Oran conceded in 62% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Constantine stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Constantine VS Oran
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Constantine

(Home)
07 Oct
Constantine
4 : 0
Biskra
19 Sept
ES Setif
5 : 1
Constantine
12 Sept
Constantine
3 : 0
ASO Chlef
05 Sept
CR Temouchent
1 : 1
Constantine
05 Jun
Saoura
3 : 1
Constantine
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Oran

(Away)
08 Oct
Oran
0 : 0
ES Setif
18 Sept
ASO Chlef
0 : 1
Oran
11 Sept
Oran
2 : 0
CR Temouchent
28 Jul
Oran
3 : 0
Muaither SC
06 Jun
Oran
2 : 2
USM Alger
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 MC Alger 30 20 5 5 41:18 65
2 Saoura 30 16 7 7 40:26 55
3 CR Belouizdad 30 14 11 5 47:24 53
4 Oran 30 14 7 9 36:31 49
5 Kabylie 30 11 12 7 40:31 45
6 Olympique Akbou 30 12 9 9 34:31 45
7 Khenchela 30 12 8 10 37:37 44
8 ES Ben Aknoun 30 11 10 9 41:39 43
9 Constantine 30 11 10 9 35:30 43
10 USM Alger 30 8 15 7 34:29 39
11 ES Setif 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
12 Rouisset 30 9 9 12 30:35 36
13 ASO Chlef 30 9 7 14 26:31 34
14 Paradou 30 7 3 20 35:54 24
15 Mostaganem 30 4 7 19 18:52 19
16 El Bayadh 30 2 11 17 17:40 17
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - CAF Confederation Cup 2025/2026 (Qualification)
Relegation - Ligue 2 (Main)