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Contagem vs America TO

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2022
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AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2022 game between Contagem and America TO finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward America TO.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Contagem
20%
Draws
42%
America TO
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: America TO

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • America TO carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Contagem a 38% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 64.6%
Contagem Clean Sheet 20%
America TO Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem America TO
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 13 22
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.46
Goals Conceded 0.7 0.77
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2024 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Contagem
0:1
Sep 14, 2024 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
2:2
Aug 27, 2022 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
1:2
Nov 13, 2021 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs America TO
1:2
Sep 12, 2021 Mineiro 3
America TO vs Contagem
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem 67 / 100
America TO 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem America TO

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Contagem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Contagem found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Contagem stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

America TO's defensive record shows goals conceded in 49% of 35 matches.

Scoring Trends

Contagem VS America TO
1.75 Goals Scored 1
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Contagem

(Home)
03 Nov
Tupynambas
2 : 1
Contagem
26 Oct
Contagem
0 : 0
Tupynambas
19 Oct
Contagem
5 : 0
Boston City
12 Oct
Coimbra Esporte Clube
0 : 0
Contagem
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 6

America TO

(Away)
04 Nov
Guarani-MG
3 : 0
America TO
26 Oct
America TO
1 : 0
Guarani-MG
19 Oct
America TO
2 : 0
Social
12 Oct
Boston City
0 : 2
America TO
05 Oct
America TO
0 : 1
Contagem
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 North Esporte Clube 7 5 1 1 12:5 16
2 Valeriodoce 7 5 1 1 11:5 16
3 America TO 7 4 2 1 11:6 14
4 Novo Esporte 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
5 Boston City 7 2 3 2 11:8 9
6 Contagem 7 2 2 3 8:7 8
7 Juventus Minasnovense 7 1 0 6 8:14 3
8 Ideal FC 7 0 0 7 0:21 0
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Itabirito 7 6 0 1 12:1 18
2 Villa Real 7 4 1 2 7:4 13
3 Santarritense 7 3 3 1 8:4 12
4 Tres Coracoes 7 3 1 3 12:13 10
5 Passos 7 2 3 2 5:5 9
6 Figueirense Esporte Clube 7 1 4 2 6:10 7
7 Betis 7 1 3 3 5:8 6
8 Pocos de Caldas 7 0 1 6 2:12 1
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Araxa 7 5 2 0 7:2 17
2 Coimbra Esporte Clube 7 4 1 2 13:8 13
3 Nacional Uberaba 7 4 0 3 11:8 12
4 Mamore 7 3 3 1 12:8 12
5 Inter de Minas 7 2 2 3 7:8 8
6 Serranense 7 1 3 3 8:10 6
7 Paracatu 7 1 3 3 7:12 6
8 Sao Gotardo 7 0 2 5 4:13 2
Promotion - Mineiro 3 2022 (Play Offs)