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Contagem vs Inter de Minas

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 3 2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro 3 2023 game between Contagem and Inter de Minas finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Inter de Minas.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Contagem
39%
Draws
31%
Inter de Minas
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Inter de Minas's 2 goals per match outpaces what Contagem have produced (1.29).
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Contagem Clean Sheet 20%
Inter de Minas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Contagem Inter de Minas
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 13 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.29 2
Goals Conceded 0.43 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.43 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 7, 2023 Mineiro 3
Contagem vs Inter de Minas
0:1
Sep 28, 2023 Mineiro 3
Inter de Minas vs Contagem
0:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Contagem 31 / 100
Inter de Minas 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Contagem Inter de Minas

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Contagem found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).

Inter de Minas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 30 matches.

Contagem went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Contagem VS Inter de Minas
1.29 Goals Scored 2
0.43 Goals Conceded 1.75
43% Over 1.5 88%
29% Over 2.5 63%
14% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1America TO65108:216
2Valeriodoce64026:412
3Juventus Minasnovense62137:77
4Boston City60064:120
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guarani-MG650110:215
2Pocos de Caldas63126:610
3Villa Real51131:44
4Tres Coracoes51042:73
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Contagem64115:213
2Coimbra Esporte Clube632113:311
3Inter de Minas63128:610
4Serranense60064:190
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Mamore862016:420
2Araxa842211:614
3Paracatu73139:810
4Nacional Uberaba71334:96
5Pirapora81073:163