Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Conwy Borough in this FA Cup 2021/2022 tie, finishing 3-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Conwy Borough lately — more wins on the board than Cefn Albion.
- 43% — that's where the model lands on Conwy Borough taking it.
- Conwy Borough have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Conwy Borough, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 14%
Cefn Albion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conwy Borough | Cefn Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 9 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Conwy Borough vs Cefn Albion
3:2
Oct 3, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Conwy Borough vs Cefn Albion
5:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Conwy Borough 39 / 100
Cefn Albion 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Conwy Borough Cefn Albion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Conwy Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cefn Albion let in goals in 89% of their last 9 matches.
Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.
Conwy Borough found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (31 games).
Away concern: Cefn Albion has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Conwy Borough VS Cefn Albion
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Conwy Borough
(Home) 22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 7
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
10 Mar
Conwy Borough
1 : 4 Holywell Town FC
04 Mar
Conwy Borough
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
10 Feb
Conwy Borough
1 : 1 Buckley
04 Feb
Conwy Borough
0 : 3 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Cefn Albion
(Away) 20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
Penlan Club 0
Ynysygerwn 2
TBD -
Cambrian United -
Penybont -
TBD -
Undy 3
Chepstow Town 0
Llanuwchllyn 2
Denbigh 4
TBD -
Caernarfon -
Prestatyn -
TBD -
Caersws FC 2
Rhostyllen 3
Buckley 2
Mold Alexandra 1
Porthmadog 3
Llanberis FC 0
Monmouth 3
Cwmamman United 1
TBD -
Llanelli -
Goytre Utd -
TBD -
Abergavenny Town 1
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 5
Treharris Athletic 0
Llantwit Major 4
Risca United 0
Llandudno FC 4
Llay Welfare 2
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
Caerau Ely 3
Brecon Corinthians 8
Bala -
TBD -
Brymbo 3
Llansantffraid Village 1
Pontypridd United -
TBD -
Penydarren 1
Cwmbran Celtic 0
Llanrhaeadr -
TBD -
Saltney Town 3
Felinheli 1
Penrhyncoch -
TBD -
Aberaeron 1
Ynyshir Albions 3
Aberystwyth -
TBD -
Porthcawl Town 0
Aber Valley 2
Cefn Druids -
TBD -
Holyhead 1
Rhos Aelwyd 0
Newtown -
TBD -
Llanelwy 2
Berriew FC 7
Carmarthen Town -
TBD -
Cardiff Airport 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 3
Conwy Borough -
TBD -
Caergybi 1
Cefn Albion 4
TNS -
TBD -
Llanfairfechan Town 1
Llanrwst United 2
Pure Swansea -
TBD -
Caldicot 6
Penparcau FC 3
Llanidloes Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Bangor City -
Pontymister 1
Dinas Powys 2
Port Talbot 0
Afan Lido 6
Llandudno Albion 5
Llanerchymedd 1
TBD -
Guilsfield -
Ammanford Town -
TBD -
TBD -
Penrhiwceiber Rangers -
Flint Town -
TBD -
Llanfair United 2
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 3
Briton Ferry -
TBD -
Trefelin 8
Fairwater 1
Connahs Q. -
TBD -
Rhyl 1
Rhydymwyn 0
Holywell Town FC 2
Gresford 3
TBD -
Colwyn Bay -
Bodedern 5
Llandyrnog United 1
Llangefni 0
Ruthin Town 1
Pontyclun FC 0
Pontardawe 3
TBD -
Cardiff Metropolitan University -
Barry Town -
TBD -
Garden Village 2
Goytre AFC 3
1/32-finals
Ynysygerwn 1
Cambrian United 3
Penybont 7
Undy 0
Denbigh 0
Caernarfon 4
Prestatyn 6
Rhostyllen 0
Buckley 3
Porthmadog 1
Monmouth 3
Llanelli 0
Goytre Utd 0
Taffs Well 3
Pencoed 0
Llantwit Major 3
Llandudno FC 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
Haverfordwest 6
Brecon Corinthians 0
Bala 17
Brymbo 1
Pontypridd United 6
Penydarren 0
Llanrhaeadr 3
Saltney Town 5
Penrhyncoch 4
Ynyshir Albions 1
Aberystwyth 9
Aber Valley 0
Cefn Druids 1
Holyhead 0
Newtown 6
Berriew FC 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Trethomas Bluebirds 1
Conwy Borough 3
Cefn Albion 2
TNS 6
Llanrwst United 0
Pure Swansea 6
Caldicot 3
Llanidloes Town 1
Bangor City 4
Dinas Powys 2
Afan Lido 1
Llandudno Albion 3
Guilsfield 5
Ammanford Town 0
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 3
Flint Town 5
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 0
Briton Ferry 0
Trefelin 3
Connahs Q. 5
Rhyl 0
Gresford 1
Colwyn Bay 2
Bodedern 4
Ruthin Town 5
Pontardawe 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Barry Town 2
Goytre AFC 0
1/16-finals
Cambrian United 1
Penybont 3
Caernarfon 3
Prestatyn 0
Buckley 2
Monmouth 0
Taffs Well 2
Llantwit Major 1
Airbus UK Broughton FC 1
Haverfordwest 2
Bala 5
Pontypridd United 0
Saltney Town 2
Penrhyncoch 1
Aberystwyth 4
Cefn Druids 1
Newtown 1
Carmarthen Town 2
Conwy Borough 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Bangor City 0
Dinas Powys 2
Guilsfield 4
Penrhiwceiber Rangers 1
Flint Town 3
Trefelin 0
Connahs Q. 4
Colwyn Bay 5
Ruthin Town 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 3
Barry Town 0
1/8-finals
Penybont 1
Caernarfon 0
Buckley 0
Taffs Well 2
Haverfordwest 1
Bala 3
Saltney Town 0
Aberystwyth 1
Carmarthen Town 0
TNS 1
Pure Swansea 1
Guilsfield 2
Flint Town 0
Connahs Q. 2
Colwyn Bay 1
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Quarter-finals
Penybont 3
Taffs Well 2
Bala 2
Aberystwyth 1
TNS 2
Guilsfield 0
Connahs Q. 0
Colwyn Bay 2
Semi-finals
Penybont 1
Bala 0
TNS 1
Colwyn Bay 0
Final
Penybont 2
TNS 3
