Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Conwy Borough in this FA Cup 2015/2016 tie, finishing 5-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
43%
/ Low Confidence
- Cefn Albion haven't matched Conwy Borough's recent run of results.
- Conwy Borough are the model's pick here, at 40%.
- Conwy Borough have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Conwy Borough, who have won 2 of the last 2 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 14%
Cefn Albion Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Conwy Borough | Cefn Albion |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 31 | 9 |
| Wins | 9 | 3 |
| Draws | 6 | 0 |
| Losses | 16 | 6 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 2.33 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.23 | 3.56 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2021 FAW Welsh Cup
Conwy Borough vs Cefn Albion
3:2
Oct 3, 2015 FAW Welsh Cup
Conwy Borough vs Cefn Albion
5:3
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Conwy Borough 39 / 100
Cefn Albion 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Conwy Borough Cefn Albion
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Conwy Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Cefn Albion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 89% of 9 matches.
H2H data points to 6.50 goals as a typical output.
Conwy Borough scored in 68% of their last 31 games.
Difficult form: Cefn Albion registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Conwy Borough VS Cefn Albion
0.63 Goals Scored 1
2.25 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Conwy Borough
(Home) 22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0 Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1 Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0 Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0 Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 7
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1 Holyhead
10 Mar
Conwy Borough
1 : 4 Holywell Town FC
04 Mar
Conwy Borough
0 : 1 Mold Alexandra
10 Feb
Conwy Borough
1 : 1 Buckley
04 Feb
Conwy Borough
0 : 3 Guilsfield
Page 1 of 3
Cefn Albion
(Away) 20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
20 Sept
Bow Street
4 : 2 Cefn Albion
21 Sept
Caersws FC
5 : 0 Cefn Albion
14 Oct
Bangor 1876
7 : 1 Cefn Albion
16 Sept
Penparcau FC
0 : 1 Cefn Albion
04 Sept
Conwy Borough
3 : 2 Cefn Albion
Page 1 of 2
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/64-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 3
FC Nomads of Connahs Quay 1
Cefn Albion 3
Conwy Borough 5
Aberdare Town 3
Cwmbach Royal Stars 0
Briton Ferry 2
Barry Town 3
Cefn Druids 4
Gresford 0
Bow Street 1
Porthmadog 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 4
Carno FC 0
Berriew FC 1
Rhostyllen 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 1
Llantwit Fardre 0
Pontypridd United 0
Penybont 2
Garden Village 2
Rhayader 1
Ton Pentre 0
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 1
Ruthin Town 0
Nantlle Vale FC 1
Knighton Town 2
Caerleon 2
Treharris Athletic 1
Butetown FC 1
Afan Lido 5
Buckley 1
Penmaenmawr Phoenix 0
Gwalchmai 0
Mold Alexandra 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 3
Corwen 2
Hawarden Rangers 0
Llanfair United 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Llanelli 6
Panteg 3
Llwydcoed 0
Cambrian United 3
Brecon Corinthians 1
Aberaeron 0
Risca United 2
Aberbargoed Buds 3
Goytre Utd 4
Monmouth 2
Undy 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 2
Llantwit Major 0
Cwmbran Town 1
Dinas Powys 4
Llandudno Junction 6
Caersws FC 1
Llanrug 2
Caernarfon 3
Penrhyncoch 5
Aberffraw 0
Waterloo Rovers 1
Trearddur Bay 7
West End 3
Treowen 2
Llandrindod 0
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 5
Prestatyn Sports 0
Pentraeth 0
Holyhead 8
Guilsfield 4
Glantraeth FC 2
Queens Park 0
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Ebbw Vale F.C. 1
Taffs Well 1
Cwmamman United 2
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/32-finals
TNS -
TBD -
TBD -
Aberystwyth -
Denbigh 4
Conwy Borough 1
Aberdare Town 2
Barry Town 7
Cefn Druids 2
Porthmadog 0
TBD -
Rhyl -
Flint Town 2
Rhostyllen 0
TBD -
Newtown -
Cardiff Metropolitan University 4
Penybont 2
Garden Village 1
STM Sports 4
Holywell Town FC 6
Knighton Town 3
Caerleon 0
Afan Lido 2
Buckley 1
Mold Alexandra 0
TBD -
Llandudno FC -
Prestatyn 5
Llanfair United 3
TBD -
Connahs Q. -
Port Talbot -
TBD -
Llanelli 0
Cambrian United 2
Brecon Corinthians 3
Aberbargoed Buds 0
Goytre Utd 1
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Dinas Powys 1
Llandudno Junction 0
Caernarfon 4
Penrhyncoch 4
Trearddur Bay 0
West End 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala -
TBD -
TBD -
Carmarthen Town -
Bangor City -
TBD -
Chirk AAA FC 0
Holyhead 4
Guilsfield 3
Penrhyndeudraeth FC 2
Caldicot 2
Cwmamman United 4
Haverfordwest -
TBD -
TBD -
Airbus UK Broughton FC -
1/16-finals
TNS 3
Aberystwyth 0
Denbigh 1
Barry Town 6
Cefn Druids 1
Rhyl 0
Flint Town 0
Newtown 2
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
STM Sports 0
Holywell Town FC 0
Afan Lido 1
Buckley 1
Llandudno FC 0
Prestatyn 0
Connahs Q. 3
Port Talbot 2
Cambrian United 1
Brecon Corinthians 0
Caerau Ely 4
Goytre AFC 4
Caernarfon 2
Penrhyncoch 2
Cwmbran Celtic 3
Bala 3
Carmarthen Town 1
Bangor City 1
Holyhead 2
Guilsfield 3
Cwmamman United 0
Haverfordwest 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 2
1/8-finals
TNS 5
Barry Town 2
Cefn Druids 0
Newtown 6
Cardiff Metropolitan University 2
Afan Lido 0
Buckley 1
Connahs Q. 4
Port Talbot 3
Caerau Ely 0
Goytre AFC 3
Cwmbran Celtic 5
Bala 3
Holyhead 1
Guilsfield 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Quarter-finals
TNS 1
Newtown 0
Cardiff Metropolitan University 0
Connahs Q. 2
Port Talbot 2
Cwmbran Celtic 1
Bala 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 3
Semi-finals
TNS 5
Connahs Q. 0
Port Talbot 0
Airbus UK Broughton FC 7
Final
TNS 2
Airbus UK Broughton FC 0
