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Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay

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Club Friendly 2024
Conwy Borough Logo

Conwy Borough

Tue, Jun 25, 2024
VS
07:00 PM
Colwyn Bay Logo

Colwyn Bay

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Conwy Borough host Colwyn Bay in the Club Friendly 2024. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Colwyn Bay have shipped 1.19 goals a game lately, while Conwy Borough have conceded 2.23 and scored 1.37. Past meetings favor Colwyn Bay slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 25, 2024, ending 0:0. The numbers (1.10 xG vs 1.36) point toward Colwyn Bay. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 1-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
68%
Colwyn Bay
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Colwyn Bay

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Colwyn Bay come out ahead of Conwy Borough on wins alone.
  • Colwyn Bay are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 18%
Colwyn Bay Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Colwyn Bay
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 17
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.81
Goals Conceded 2.23 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 25, 2024 Club Friendly
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
0:0
Feb 25, 2023 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Conwy Borough
5:0
Aug 26, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
0:3
Apr 15, 2022 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Colwyn Bay
1:1
Aug 10, 2021 Cymru North
Colwyn Bay vs Conwy Borough
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 10 / 100
Colwyn Bay 84 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Colwyn Bay

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Colwyn Bay Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Conwy Borough's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: Colwyn Bay conceded in 63% of 32 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Conwy Borough stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Colwyn Bay
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
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Colwyn Bay

(Away)
03 Oct
Briton Ferry
1 : 0
Colwyn Bay
26 Sept
Colwyn Bay
1 : 0
Haverfordwest
18 Sept
Colwyn Bay
5 : 2
Barry Town
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
12 Sept
Colwyn Bay
2 : 1
Connahs Q.
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