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Stadium Background

Conwy Borough vs Holyhead

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Whelan C.
62' Event
Gibbs J.
90' Event
Roberts A.

AI Match Summary

Conwy Borough in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conwy Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
21%
Holyhead
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Holyhead have won more games recently than Conwy Borough.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Conwy Borough taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 20%
Holyhead Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Holyhead
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 6 4
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.4
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.57
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.05
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 7, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Holyhead
2:1
Aug 2, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Conwy Borough
1:1
Mar 4, 2022 Cymru North
Holyhead vs Conwy Borough
2:0
Sep 18, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Holyhead
0:0
Dec 22, 2018 Cymru Alliance
Holyhead vs Conwy Borough
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Holyhead Compare

Top Goalscorer Gibbs J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.58

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 42 / 100
Holyhead 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Holyhead

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holyhead has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Conwy Borough found the back of the net in 66% of recent matches (29 games).

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Difficult form: Holyhead registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holyhead
0 Goals Scored 1
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Holyhead

(Away)
26 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 2
Guilsfield
12 Sept
Holyhead
0 : 1
Newtown
05 Sept
Llanuwchllyn
4 : 0
Holyhead
31 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 2
Porthmadog
21 Aug
Holyhead
2 : 3
Bangor 1876
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)