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Conwy Borough vs Holywell Town FC

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Rhys-Williams M.
14' Event
Andrews D.
18' Event
McGilloway B.

AI Match Summary

The Cymru North 2022/2023 game between Conwy Borough and Holywell Town FC finished 1-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Holywell Town FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

64%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
21%
Holywell Town FC
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Holywell Town FC come out ahead of Conwy Borough on wins alone.
  • Conwy Borough are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Holywell Town FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 16%
Holywell Town FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Holywell Town FC
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 7 9
Draws 6 6
Losses 16 15
Goals Scored 1.28 1.9
Goals Conceded 2.21 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.73 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Holywell Town FC
1:4
Aug 20, 2022 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Conwy Borough
3:1
Apr 8, 2022 Cymru North
Holywell Town FC vs Conwy Borough
2:3
Nov 6, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Holywell Town FC
1:4
Aug 6, 2021 League Cup
Conwy Borough vs Holywell Town FC
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Rhys-Williams M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.33
Avg xA / game 0.86

Holywell Town FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Andrews D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGilloway B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 41 / 100
Holywell Town FC 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Holywell Town FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Holywell Town FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Conwy Borough's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Difficult form: Holywell Town FC registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Holywell Town FC
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 2.25
0% Over 1.5 88%
0% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Holywell Town FC

(Away)
03 Oct
Ammanford Town
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
26 Sept
Holywell Town FC
1 : 1
Briton Ferry
18 Sept
Haverfordwest
1 : 0
Holywell Town FC
15 Sept
Holywell Town FC
0 : 5
Colwyn Bay
11 Sept
Cambrian United
2 : 1
Holywell Town FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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