Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Conwy Borough vs Mold Alexandra

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

66' Event
Warren D.

AI Match Summary

Mold Alexandra in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Mold Alexandra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
69%
Mold Alexandra
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Mold Alexandra

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Mold Alexandra have won more games recently than Conwy Borough.
  • 69% — that's where the model lands on Mold Alexandra taking it.
  • Regular Cymru North 2022/2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Mold Alexandra here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 16%
Mold Alexandra Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Mold Alexandra
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 6 5
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.28 1.88
Goals Conceded 2.21 1.53
Expected Goals (xG) 1.42 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 22, 2024 Club Friendly
Mold Alexandra vs Conwy Borough
3:0
Mar 4, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Mold Alexandra
0:1
Nov 5, 2022 Cymru North
Mold Alexandra vs Conwy Borough
5:2
Apr 15, 2017 Cymru Alliance
Conwy Borough vs Mold Alexandra
3:3
Dec 10, 2016 Cymru Alliance
Mold Alexandra vs Conwy Borough
4:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Avg xG / game 1.09
Avg xA / game 0.71

Mold Alexandra Compare

Top Goalscorer Warren D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 10 / 100
Mold Alexandra 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Mold Alexandra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Mold Alexandra Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.80 goals.

Conwy Borough's goal record stands at 66% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Mold Alexandra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 78% of 32 matches.

Conwy Borough went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Mold Alexandra
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Mold Alexandra

(Away)
26 Sept
Bala
2 : 4
Mold Alexandra
12 Sept
Mold Alexandra
2 : 2
Llanuwchllyn
06 Sept
Gresford
1 : 5
Mold Alexandra
31 Aug
Mold Alexandra
2 : 1
Bangor 1876
28 Aug
Ruthin Town
0 : 4
Mold Alexandra
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
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