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Conwy Borough vs Penrhyncoch

Wales Wales

Cymru North 2022/2023
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Kellaway G.
30' Event
Whelan C.
48' Event
Whelan C.

AI Match Summary

Conwy Borough in this Cymru North 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Conwy Borough.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Conwy Borough
15%
Draws
0%
Penrhyncoch
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Conwy Borough

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Penrhyncoch have won more games recently than Conwy Borough.
  • Conwy Borough are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Conwy Borough Clean Sheet 18%
Penrhyncoch Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Conwy Borough Penrhyncoch
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 8 10
Draws 6 3
Losses 16 19
Goals Scored 1.37 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.23 2.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.17 1.36
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 2, 2023 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Penrhyncoch
3:1
Oct 22, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Conwy Borough
2:5
Apr 2, 2022 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Conwy Borough
1:1
Dec 11, 2021 Cymru North
Conwy Borough vs Penrhyncoch
2:2
Apr 4, 2020 Cymru North
Penrhyncoch vs Conwy Borough
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Conwy Borough Compare

Top Goalscorer Whelan C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Roberts C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.9
Avg xA / game 0.58

Penrhyncoch Compare

Top Goalscorer Kellaway G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.24
Avg xA / game 0.76

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Conwy Borough 85 / 100
Penrhyncoch 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Conwy Borough Penrhyncoch

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Conwy Borough Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Penrhyncoch conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Penrhyncoch has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Conwy Borough scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Penrhyncoch
0 Goals Scored 1.63
0 Goals Conceded 1.13
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Conwy Borough

(Home)
22 Jun
Mold Alexandra
3 : 0
Conwy Borough
16 Sept
Llanrwst United
2 : 1
Conwy Borough
15 Apr
Ruthin Town
4 : 0
Conwy Borough
07 Apr
Conwy Borough
2 : 1
Holyhead
24 Mar
Llandudno FC
1 : 0
Conwy Borough
Page 1 of 6

Penrhyncoch

(Away)
25 Sept
Ruthin Town
2 : 0
Penrhyncoch
15 Sept
Penrhyncoch
0 : 1
Bala
12 Sept
Penrhyncoch
1 : 5
Bangor 1876
05 Sept
Buckley
5 : 0
Penrhyncoch
31 Aug
Guilsfield
4 : 0
Penrhyncoch
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colwyn Bay 30 27 2 1 101:24 83
2 Holywell Town FC 30 26 1 3 75:22 79
3 Llandudno FC 30 20 6 4 70:23 66
4 Guilsfield 30 17 6 7 58:37 57
5 Ruthin Town 30 16 3 11 48:44 51
6 Prestatyn 30 14 4 12 66:50 46
7 Cefn Druids 30 13 4 13 48:64 43
8 Buckley 30 12 6 12 53:61 42
9 Mold Alexandra 30 10 5 15 41:52 35
10 Gresford 30 10 5 15 32:43 35
11 Porthmadog 30 10 3 17 36:53 33
12 Llanidloes Town 30 7 6 17 42:63 27
13 Chirk AAA FC 30 5 11 14 32:49 26
14 Conwy Borough 30 5 8 17 33:64 23
15 Penrhyncoch 30 3 7 20 31:72 16
16 Holyhead 30 2 9 19 24:69 15
Promotion - Cymru Premier 2023/2024 (Main)