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Cook Islands U19 vs American Samoa U19 Prediction & H2H Stats

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Our Tip

Match Events

37' Event
Paio T.
49' Event
Tiputoa C.
(Penalty)
51' Event
Ledoux R.

AI Match Summary

Cook Islands U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cook Islands U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Cook Islands U19
15%
Draws
0%
American Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cook Islands U19 lately — more wins on the board than American Samoa U19.
  • Win probability leans Cook Islands U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).
  • History favors Cook Islands U19 here — 3 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.6%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 19%
American Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U19 American Samoa U19
Matches Played 11 14
Wins 4 0
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 13
Goals Scored 1.36 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.45 4.29
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2024 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Cook Islands U19
2:3
Sep 13, 2022 OFC Championship U19
American Samoa U19 vs Cook Islands U19
0:4
Jun 2, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Cook Islands U19 vs American Samoa U19
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Paio T.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.41
Avg xA / game 1.56

American Samoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ledoux R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U19 85 / 100
American Samoa U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U19 American Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

American Samoa U19's defensive record shows goals conceded in 100% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

American Samoa U19 lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Solid form: Cook Islands U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands U19 VS American Samoa U19
1.25 Goals Scored 0.13
2.38 Goals Conceded 5
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

American Samoa U19

(Away)
15 Apr
American Samoa U19
3 : 4
Tonga U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Vanuatu U19
4 : 0
American Samoa U19
13 Sept
American Samoa U19
0 : 4
Cook Islands U19
11 Sept
New Zealand U19
9 : 0
American Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonga U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Samoa U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)