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Cook Islands U19 vs Samoa U19

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Championship U19 2018
Cook Islands U19 Logo

Cook Islands U19

0 - 1
FT
Samoa U19 Logo

Samoa U19

Our Tip

Match Events

77' Event
Malo S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Samoa U19 in this OFC Championship U19 2018 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Samoa U19.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
Cook Islands U19
15%
Draws
26%
Samoa U19
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • Samoa U19 have won more games recently than Cook Islands U19.
  • Win probability leans Cook Islands U19's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Cook Islands U19 Clean Sheet 12%
Samoa U19 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands U19 Samoa U19
Matches Played 11 14
Wins 4 5
Draws 1 1
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.36 1.43
Goals Conceded 2.45 2.29
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2018 OFC Championship U19
Cook Islands U19 vs Samoa U19
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.83
Avg xA / game 1.19

Samoa U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Malo S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands U19 83 / 100
Samoa U19 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands U19 Samoa U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cook Islands U19 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa U19 let in goals in 86% of their last 14 matches.

Solid form: Cook Islands U19 remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Samoa U19's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cook Islands U19 scored in 55% of their last 11 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands U19 VS Samoa U19
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands U19

(Home)
13 Jun
Papua New Guinea U19
5 : 1
Cook Islands U19
10 Jun
Tonga U19
1 : 4
Cook Islands U19
15 Apr
Cook Islands U19
0 : 2
Vanuatu U19
12 Apr
American Samoa U19
2 : 3
Cook Islands U19
09 Apr
Tonga U19
1 : 1
Cook Islands U19
Page 1 of 3

Samoa U19

(Away)
12 Sept
Samoa U19
3 : 1
Vanuatu U19
07 Sept
Samoa U19
0 : 2
Solomon Islands U19
04 Sept
Papua New Guinea U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
01 Sept
New Caledonia U19
4 : 2
Samoa U19
16 Jul
Tahiti U19
4 : 0
Samoa U19
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Tonga U19 3 2 1 0 6:1 7
2 Samoa U19 3 2 1 0 5:1 7
3 Cook Islands U19 3 1 0 2 2:5 3
4 American Samoa U19 3 0 0 3 1:7 0
Promotion - OFC Championship U19 2018 (Main)