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Cook Islands vs Tahiti

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World Cup 2002 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
Cook Islands Logo

Cook Islands

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Tahiti Logo

Tahiti

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-6, with Tahiti advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

21%
Cook Islands
15%
Draws
64%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

64% / High Confidence
  • Cook Islands haven't matched Tahiti's recent run of results.
  • 64% — that's where the model lands on Tahiti taking it.
  • Tahiti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tahiti, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Tahiti here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 11%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands Tahiti
Matches Played 26 29
Wins 6 15
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 10
Goals Scored 0.85 1.83
Goals Conceded 2.38 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 27, 2026 Friendly International
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:0
Sep 4, 2007 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:1
May 10, 2004 World Championship
Tahiti vs Cook Islands
2:0
Jun 11, 2001 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:6

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands 22 / 100
Tahiti 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: Cook Islands scored in 54% of their last 26 outings.

Cook Islands went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands VS Tahiti
0.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands

(Home)
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
22 Mar
Samoa
1 : 0
Cook Islands
Page 1 of 6

Tahiti

(Away)
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
11 Oct
New Zealand
3 : 0
Tahiti
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 4 4 0 0 66:0 12
2 Fiji 4 3 0 1 27:4 9
3 Tonga 4 2 0 2 7:30 6
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 9:18 3
5 American Samoa 4 0 0 4 0:57 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 4 4 0 0 19:1 12
2 Tahiti 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Solomon Islands 4 2 0 2 17:10 6
4 Vanuatu 4 1 0 3 11:21 3
5 Cook Islands 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)