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Cook Islands vs Tahiti Prediction & H2H Stats

World World

World Cup 2022
Sun, Mar 20, 2022
VS
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the World Cup 2022. Both sides' recent runs tell most of the story. Recent numbers: Cook Islands at 0.93 goals for, 2.37 against; Tahiti at 2.16 for, 1.22 against. Past meetings favor Tahiti slightly — 1-3-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 1, 2026, ending 3:2. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.94, favoring Tahiti. The model's pick is Away (2) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Cook Islands
15%
Draws
51%
Tahiti
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Tahiti

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Tahiti carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 51% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Tahiti arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Tahiti, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Tahiti Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands Tahiti
Matches Played 27 32
Wins 7 17
Draws 2 4
Losses 18 11
Goals Scored 0.93 2.16
Goals Conceded 2.37 1.22
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 1, 2026 Friendly International
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
3:2
Sep 27, 2026 Friendly International
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
1:3
Mar 20, 2022 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:0
Sep 4, 2007 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Tahiti
0:1
May 10, 2004 World Championship
Tahiti vs Cook Islands
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands 30 / 100
Tahiti 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands Tahiti

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tahiti Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Tahiti has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Cook Islands scored in 56% of their last 27 games.

Recent resilience: Cook Islands stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands VS Tahiti
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
75% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands

(Home)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
Page 1 of 6

Tahiti

(Away)
01 Oct
Cook Islands
3 : 2
Tahiti
27 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tahiti
21 Mar
New Caledonia
3 : 0
Tahiti
18 Nov
Tahiti
2 : 0
Vanuatu
15 Nov
Samoa
0 : 3
Tahiti
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands 1 1 0 0 3:1 3
2 Tahiti 1 0 0 1 1:3 0
3 Cook Islands 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Vanuatu 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - World Cup 2022 (Third stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 3 3 0 0 12:1 9
2 Papua New Guinea 3 2 0 1 3:2 6
3 Fiji 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 New Caledonia 3 0 0 3 2:10 0
Promotion - World Cup 2022 (Third stage)