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Cook Islands vs Vanuatu

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World Cup 2002 North Harbour Stadium, Auckland
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Cook Islands

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Vanuatu

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Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-8, with Vanuatu advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
Cook Islands
15%
Draws
69%
Vanuatu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vanuatu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

69% / High Confidence
  • Vanuatu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Vanuatu's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Vanuatu arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Vanuatu, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Cook Islands Clean Sheet 10%
Vanuatu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands Vanuatu
Matches Played 27 34
Wins 6 16
Draws 2 4
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 0.78 2.79
Goals Conceded 2.48 1.85
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 24, 2022 World Championship
Vanuatu vs Cook Islands
0:0
Jun 6, 2001 World Championship
Cook Islands vs Vanuatu
1:8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands 10 / 100
Vanuatu 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands Vanuatu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vanuatu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.50 goals per match.

Vanuatu's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 34 matches.

Cook Islands's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Cook Islands has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands VS Vanuatu
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands

(Home)
08 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 2
American Samoa
05 Sept
Cook Islands
1 : 3
Tonga
26 Mar
Cook Islands
1 : 0
Tonga
22 Mar
Samoa
1 : 0
Cook Islands
30 Nov
Samoa
3 : 0
Cook Islands
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Vanuatu

(Away)
09 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 2
Fiji
06 Jun
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Fiji
23 Nov
Papua New Guinea
2 : 3
Vanuatu
20 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 1
Solomon Islands
17 Nov
Vanuatu
2 : 0
Fiji
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Australia 4 4 0 0 66:0 12
2 Fiji 4 3 0 1 27:4 9
3 Tonga 4 2 0 2 7:30 6
4 Samoa 4 1 0 3 9:18 3
5 American Samoa 4 0 0 4 0:57 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 New Zealand 4 4 0 0 19:1 12
2 Tahiti 4 3 0 1 14:6 9
3 Solomon Islands 4 2 0 2 17:10 6
4 Vanuatu 4 1 0 3 11:21 3
5 Cook Islands 4 0 0 4 2:25 0
Promotion - World Cup 2002 (Play Offs)