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Cook Islands W vs Samoa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W Logo

Cook Islands W

0 - 3
FT
Samoa W Logo

Samoa W

Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Salanoa X.
12' Event
Dowsing L.
58' Event
Fischer M.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-3. The second leg ended 0-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cook Islands W
15%
Draws
34%
Samoa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samoa W come out ahead of Cook Islands W on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Samoa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Samoa W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Samoa W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 12%
Samoa W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands W Samoa W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
0:3
Jul 19, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
0:1
Jul 16, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Samoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Salanoa X.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dowsing L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands W 35 / 100
Samoa W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands W Samoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Samoa W conceded in 68% of 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Cook Islands W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Difficult form: Samoa W registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands W VS Samoa W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands W

(Home)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Samoa W

(Away)
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Samoa W
19 Jul
Fiji W
0 : 2
Samoa W
16 Jul
Solomon Islands W
2 : 1
Samoa W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 3 2 1 0 11:2 7
2 Samoa W 3 2 0 1 7:3 6
3 Tahiti W 3 0 2 1 3:5 2
4 Cook Islands W 3 0 1 2 1:12 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Solomon Islands W 3 2 0 1 9:4 6
2 Fiji W 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
3 Vanuatu W 3 2 0 1 5:2 6
4 Tonga W 3 0 0 3 0:11 0
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)
Relegation - OFC Nations Cup Women (5th-8th places)