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Cook Islands W vs Samoa W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Australia & Oceania Australia & Oceania

OFC Nations Cup Women 2022
Cook Islands W Logo

Cook Islands W

0 - 1
FT
Samoa W Logo

Samoa W

Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Stewart J.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Samoa W advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Cook Islands W
15%
Draws
34%
Samoa W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cook Islands W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

34% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Samoa W come out ahead of Cook Islands W on wins alone.
  • 34% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Samoa W arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Samoa W, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Samoa W have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 66.2%
Cook Islands W Clean Sheet 12%
Samoa W Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cook Islands W Samoa W
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 14
Draws 4 2
Losses 17 15
Goals Scored 0.9 1.52
Goals Conceded 2.17 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 7, 2025 OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
0:3
Jul 19, 2022 OFC Nations Cup Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
0:1
Jul 16, 2015 Pacific Games Women
Cook Islands W vs Samoa W
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cook Islands W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Samoa W Compare

Top Goalscorer Stewart J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cook Islands W 35 / 100
Samoa W 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cook Islands W Samoa W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samoa W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samoa W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Cook Islands W stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Samoa W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cook Islands W VS Samoa W
0.75 Goals Scored 1.38
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cook Islands W

(Home)
07 Jun
Cook Islands W
3 : 0
Afghanistan W
03 Jun
Cook Islands W
1 : 0
Afghanistan W
01 Dec
American Samoa W
4 : 0
Cook Islands W
29 Nov
Tahiti W
0 : 1
Cook Islands W
14 Jul
Cook Islands W
0 : 1
Tonga W
Page 1 of 6

Samoa W

(Away)
05 Mar
Samoa W
2 : 1
Solomon Islands W
02 Mar
American Samoa W
1 : 0
Samoa W
27 Feb
New Zealand W
8 : 0
Samoa W
19 Jul
Fiji W
0 : 2
Samoa W
16 Jul
Solomon Islands W
2 : 1
Samoa W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Samoa W 2 2 0 0 3:0 6
2 Cook Islands W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Tonga W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Papua New Guinea W 2 2 0 0 5:2 6
2 Tahiti W 2 0 1 1 1:2 1
3 Vanuatu W 2 0 1 1 1:3 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Fiji W 2 1 1 0 4:2 4
2 Solomon Islands W 2 0 2 0 3:3 2
3 New Caledonia W 2 0 1 1 3:5 1
Promotion - OFC Nations Cup Women 2022 (Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams