Sport Picks
Copiapo vs Antofagasta
Chile
Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó 
Match Events
26'
26'
Rojas D.
28'
28'
Ortiz A.
46'
46'
Sub
Ortiz A. In: Kimura N.
Out: Ortiz A.
AI Match Summary
The Liga de Ascenso game between Copiapo and Antofagasta finished 0-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Antofagasta.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
29%
20%
51%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Antofagasta
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
51%
/ Medium Confidence
- Antofagasta carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model gives Antofagasta a 51% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Antofagasta here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 10%
Antofagasta Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Copiapo | Antofagasta |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 8 | 14 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 1.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.66 | 1.03 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.19 | 2.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 30, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Antofagasta
0:4
Apr 19, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Copiapo
1:0
Sep 15, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Antofagasta
1:1
May 18, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Antofagasta vs Copiapo
1:0
Mar 22, 2025 Copa Chile
Antofagasta vs Copiapo
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Copiapo Compare
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59
Antofagasta Compare
Top Goalscorer Leyton S.
2 Goals Assists Leader Rojas D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.87
Avg xA / game 1.14
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Copiapo 10 / 100
Antofagasta 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Copiapo Antofagasta
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Antofagasta Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Copiapo's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Antofagasta's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.20 goals.
Copiapo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Copiapo VS Antofagasta
1.38 Goals Scored 2.38
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Copiapo
(Home) 09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1 Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
22 Aug
Recoleta
2 : 1 Copiapo
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
Page 1 of 6
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1 Magallanes
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Copiapo
4 : 0 Curico Unido
09 Aug
Copiapo
1 : 1 San Luis
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1 Everton
Page 1 of 3
Antofagasta
(Away) 15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0 Cobreloa
06 Sept
Antofagasta
1 : 2 Recoleta
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
23 Aug
Antofagasta
3 : 1 Deportes Temuco
Page 1 of 6
15 Sept
San Luis
2 : 1 Antofagasta
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4 Antofagasta
17 Aug
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1 Antofagasta
07 Aug
U. Espanola
0 : 3 Antofagasta
26 Jul
D. Puerto Montt
3 : 2 Antofagasta
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Wanderers | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 40:25 | 44 |
| 2 | Cobreloa | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 42:27 | 42 |
| 3 | San Luis | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 38:29 | 41 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 41:38 | 40 |
| 5 | Antofagasta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42:26 | 38 |
| 6 | Recoleta | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 36:33 | 38 |
| 7 | San Marcos de Arica | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31:23 | 36 |
| 8 | U. Espanola | 25 | 10 | 6 | 9 | 32:32 | 36 |
| 9 | D. Puerto Montt | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 26:31 | 34 |
| 10 | Deportes Temuco | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40:35 | 32 |
| 11 | Copiapo | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:38 | 31 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 25 | 6 | 10 | 9 | 33:30 | 28 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 22:38 | 24 |
| 14 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 25 | 4 | 10 | 11 | 26:38 | 22 |
| 15 | San Felipe | 23 | 5 | 7 | 11 | 15:37 | 22 |
| 16 | Rangers | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 23:40 | 18 |
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)
