Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs Cobreloa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Copiapo host Cobreloa in the Liga de Ascenso. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Copiapo at 1.41 goals for, 1.59 against; Cobreloa at 1.52 for, 1.14 against. Head-to-head, Copiapo have won 0 to Cobreloa's 2, with 3 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 4:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.50) point toward Cobreloa. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Copiapo
20%
Draws
40%
Cobreloa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Cobreloa have won more games recently than Copiapo.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 16%
Cobreloa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo Cobreloa
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 7 9
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.59 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
4:1
Aug 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
1:1
May 10, 2025 Copa Chile
Cobreloa vs Copiapo
3:0
Apr 19, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Cobreloa
1:1
Jan 28, 2025 Copa Chile
Copiapo vs Cobreloa
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 30 / 100
Cobreloa 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo Cobreloa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Copiapo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Copiapo's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Cobreloa let in goals in 62% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Copiapo stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS Cobreloa
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 50%
75% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
03 Oct
Copiapo
3 : 0
D. Puerto Montt
26 Sept
San Felipe
1 : 4
Copiapo
09 Sept
Copiapo
1 : 1
Magallanes
06 Sept
San Marcos de Arica
2 : 1
Copiapo
30 Aug
Copiapo
0 : 4
Antofagasta
Page 1 of 6

Cobreloa

(Away)
07 Oct
Coquimbo
2 : 1
Cobreloa
03 Oct
Deportes Temuco
0 : 1
Cobreloa
26 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
10 Sept
Antofagasta
0 : 0
Cobreloa
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cobreloa 26 13 9 4 44:27 48
2 San Luis 26 13 8 5 41:29 47
3 S. Wanderers 26 12 8 6 41:28 44
4 Magallanes 26 12 7 7 42:38 43
5 Antofagasta 26 11 8 7 44:26 41
6 Recoleta 26 11 8 7 38:34 41
7 San Marcos de Arica 26 10 9 7 33:24 39
8 Copiapo 26 10 7 9 40:39 37
9 U. Espanola 26 10 6 10 32:34 36
10 D. Puerto Montt 26 10 4 12 26:34 34
11 Deportes Temuco 26 8 8 10 40:36 32
12 Deportes Iquique 26 7 10 9 35:30 31
13 Curico Unido 26 6 9 11 22:39 24
14 Deportes Santa Cruz 26 4 10 12 27:40 22
15 San Felipe 26 5 7 14 16:44 22
16 Rangers 26 4 6 16 23:42 18
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)