Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Copiapo vs Recoleta

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Ortiz A.
4' Event
Baez F.
8'
Alarcon F.

AI Match Summary

Recoleta in this Liga de Ascenso matchup, with the score ending 2-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Recoleta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Copiapo
33%
Draws
40%
Recoleta
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Recoleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Copiapo lately — more wins on the board than Recoleta.
  • Win probability leans Recoleta's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Copiapo Clean Sheet 16%
Recoleta Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Copiapo Recoleta
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 10 7
Draws 7 9
Losses 11 12
Goals Scored 1.13 1
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
2:4
Oct 4, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
0:1
May 24, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:0
Aug 30, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Copiapo vs Recoleta
3:2
Apr 15, 2022 Liga de Ascenso
Recoleta vs Copiapo
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Copiapo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rios A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lopez M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Recoleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Baez F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Copiapo 28 / 100
Recoleta 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Copiapo Recoleta

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick REC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.80 goals per match.

Copiapo scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Defensive concern: Recoleta conceded in 79% of 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Copiapo stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Copiapo VS Recoleta
1.13 Goals Scored 1
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Copiapo

(Home)
11 Jul
Copiapo
0 : 1
Everton
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
26 Jun
Everton
3 : 0
Copiapo
20 Jun
Copiapo
0 : 3
U. Catolica
06 Jun
Copiapo
1 : 0
S. Wanderers
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Recoleta

(Away)
06 Jul
Colo Colo
2 : 2
Recoleta
28 Jun
O Higgins
1 : 1
Recoleta
20 Jun
Recoleta
0 : 3
Colo Colo
07 Jun
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Recoleta
30 May
Recoleta
0 : 0
San Luis
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283
Promotion - Liga de Primera 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Promotion - Liga de Primera (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda Division 2027 (Main)