Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
28'
Galani S.
45'
Camargo A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-2. The second leg ended 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%
Coquimbo
20%
Draws
46%
D. Concepcion
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: D. Concepcion

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Coquimbo have managed 1.37 goals a game lately — D. Concepcion are scoring more at 1.41.
  • Model gives D. Concepcion a 46% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor D. Concepcion, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 18%
D. Concepcion Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo D. Concepcion
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 13
Draws 10 5
Losses 7 11
Goals Scored 1.37 1.41
Goals Conceded 1 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 23, 2026 Liga de Primera
D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:1
Jun 6, 2026 Copa de la Liga
D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:2
Mar 29, 2026 Copa de la Liga
Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion
2:1
Feb 28, 2026 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs D. Concepcion
0:1
Jan 14, 2026 Club Friendly
D. Concepcion vs Coquimbo
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Salinas F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pratto L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

D. Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesias Gonzalez I. S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 20 / 100
D. Concepcion 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo D. Concepcion

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick D. Concepcion Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Defensive concern: D. Concepcion conceded in 66% of 29 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Coquimbo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS D. Concepcion
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
1 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
22 Sept
Cobreloa
1 : 2
Coquimbo
16 Sept
Coquimbo
0 : 1
Huachipato
12 Sept
Cobresal
3 : 2
Coquimbo
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
Page 1 of 6

D. Concepcion

(Away)
23 Sept
Curico Unido
0 : 4
D. Concepcion
13 Sept
Colo Colo
1 : 1
D. Concepcion
05 Sept
D. Concepcion
0 : 1
A. Italiano
30 Aug
Nublense
0 : 1
D. Concepcion
23 Aug
D. Concepcion
1 : 1
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)