Sport Picks

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso

Coquimbo

3 - 0

Deportes Tolima

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Fernandez M.

Assist: Chandia B.

45'

Zavala C.

Assist: Vadala G.

46'

Sub

Trujillo C. In: Rovira B.

Out: Trujillo C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Copa Libertadores game between Coquimbo and Deportes Tolima finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coquimbo.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%

Coquimbo

17%

Draws

13%

Deportes Tolima

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Coquimbo carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Coquimbo's way, sitting at 70%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Libertadores fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 57.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 16.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 7%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 68%

Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coquimbo	Deportes Tolima
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	14	12
Draws	10	8
Losses	4	9
Goals Scored	1.88	0.2
Goals Conceded	0.63	1.4
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	0.20
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.63	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Coquimbo vs Deportes Tolima

Possession: 48% - 45% Cards: 1 - 2

3:0

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo

Possession: 42% - 43% Cards: 2 - 2

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zavala C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Deportes Tolima Compare

Avg xG / game 0.18

Avg xA / game 0.11

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 77 / 100

Deportes Tolima 14 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coquimbo Deportes Tolima

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COQ Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: Coquimbo remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Away concern: Deportes Tolima has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS Deportes Tolima

1.88 Goals Scored 0.2

0.63 Goals Conceded 1.4

75% Over 1.5 40%

63% Over 2.5 40%

13% Over 3.5 20%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Flamengo RJ	6	5	1	0	14:2	16
2	Estudiantes L.P.	6	2	3	1	6:5	9
3	Ind. Medellin	6	2	1	3	6:11	7
4	Cusco	6	0	1	5	4:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	6	3	1	2	8:6	10
2	Deportes Tolima	6	2	2	2	7:6	8
3	Club Nacional	6	2	2	2	7:9	8
4	Universitario de Deportes	6	1	3	2	5:6	6

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Ind. Rivadavia	6	5	1	0	15:6	16
2	Fluminense	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Bolivar	6	1	2	3	6:8	5
4	Deportivo La Guaira	6	0	3	3	6:13	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	4	1	1	8:4	13
2	Cruzeiro	6	3	2	1	8:3	11
3	Boca Juniors	6	2	1	3	6:5	7
4	Barcelona SC	6	1	0	5	2:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Corinthians	6	3	2	1	8:4	11
2	Platense	6	3	1	2	8:7	10
3	Santa Fe	6	2	2	2	6:7	8
4	Penarol	6	0	3	3	4:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cerro Porteno	6	4	1	1	6:2	13
2	Palmeiras	6	3	2	1	10:5	11
3	Sporting Cristal	6	2	0	4	6:9	6
4	Junior	6	1	1	4	5:11	4

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	LDU Quito	6	4	2	8:5	12
2	Mirassol	6	4	2	7:4	12
3	Lanus	6	3	3	3:7	9
4	Always Ready	6	1	5	7:9	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	Rosario Central	6	4	1	1	9:1	13
3	Universidad Central	6	3	0	3	7:11	9
4	Libertad Asuncion	6	0	0	6	4:13	0