Sport Picks

Coquimbo vs Deportes Tolima - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South America

Copa Libertadores Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo

Coquimbo

3 - 0

Deportes Tolima

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Fernandez M.

Assist: Chandia B.

45'

Zavala C.

Assist: Vadala G.

46'

Sub

Trujillo C. In: Rovira B.

Out: Trujillo C.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-0. The second leg ended 3-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%

Coquimbo

35%

Draws

26%

Deportes Tolima

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence

Coquimbo carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Coquimbo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 69%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 68%

Deportes Tolima Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coquimbo	Deportes Tolima
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	11
Draws	9	7
Losses	8	11
Goals Scored	1.28	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.03	1.17
Expected Goals (xG)	1.31	1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Coquimbo vs Deportes Tolima

3:0

Apr 29, 2026 Copa Libertadores

Deportes Tolima vs Coquimbo

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zavala C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.01

Avg xA / game 0.66

Deportes Tolima Compare

Avg xG / game 1.19

Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 41 / 100

Deportes Tolima 30 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coquimbo Deportes Tolima

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Deportes Tolima conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Coquimbo remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS Deportes Tolima

1.38 Goals Scored 1

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.25

75% Over 1.5 63%

63% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)

07 Oct

Coquimbo

2 : 1

Cobreloa

22 Sept

Cobreloa

1 : 2

Coquimbo

16 Sept

Coquimbo

0 : 1

Huachipato

12 Sept

Cobresal

3 : 2

Coquimbo

06 Sept

U. De Chile

4 : 2

Coquimbo

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Deportes Tolima

(Away)

08 Oct

Atl. Nacional

0 : 0

Deportes Tolima

03 Oct

Deportes Tolima

0 : 0

Chico

27 Sept

Fortaleza C.E.I.F.

2 : 2

Deportes Tolima

20 Sept

Deportes Tolima

1 : 1

America De Cali

16 Sept

Once Caldas

1 : 0

Deportes Tolima

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