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Coquimbo vs Limache

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Moya F.
46'
Sub
Gazzolo B. In: Hernandez E.
Out: Gazzolo B.
55'
Sub
Vadala G. In: Rodriguez P.
Out: Vadala G.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. The second leg ended 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Coquimbo
30%
Draws
23%
Limache
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Coquimbo come out ahead of Limache on wins alone.
  • 47% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Coquimbo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%
Limache Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo Limache
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 14 8
Draws 9 8
Losses 5 11
Goals Scored 1.43 1.7
Goals Conceded 0.96 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 1, 2026 Copa Chile
Limache vs Coquimbo
1:1
Jun 23, 2026 Copa Chile
Coquimbo vs Limache
1:1
May 31, 2026 Liga de Primera
Limache vs Coquimbo
2:3
Jan 21, 2026 Super Cup
Coquimbo vs Limache
3:2
Aug 2, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs Limache
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Cornejo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Limache Compare

Top Goalscorer Moya F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 31 / 100
Limache 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo Limache

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: Limache conceded in 89% of 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Coquimbo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS Limache
1.13 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
06 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
01 Aug
Palestino
2 : 1
Coquimbo
12 Jul
Coquimbo
1 : 1
Union La Calera
08 Jul
Union La Calera
0 : 1
Coquimbo
04 Jul
Deportes Iquique
1 : 1
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 6

Limache

(Away)
06 Aug
Deportes Iquique
3 : 1
Limache
25 Jul
Colo Colo
3 : 1
Limache
06 Jul
Limache
4 : 1
San Marcos de Arica
01 Jul
Limache
1 : 1
Coquimbo
27 Jun
Limache
1 : 4
Deportes Iquique
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 3 3 0 8:3 12
2 Deportes Iquique 6 3 2 1 12:6 11
3 Limache 6 2 2 2 11:11 8
4 San Marcos de Arica 6 0 1 5 2:13 1
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. Catolica 6 5 0 1 14:9 15
2 Everton 6 2 2 2 10:9 8
3 San Luis 6 1 3 2 11:10 6
4 Copiapo 6 1 1 4 3:10 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Antofagasta 6 5 1 0 12:5 16
2 Cobreloa 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
3 La Serena 6 2 1 3 7:10 7
4 Cobresal 6 0 2 4 2:7 2
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 U. De Chile 6 4 1 1 13:7 13
2 Union La Calera 6 3 2 1 13:6 11
3 San Felipe 6 2 1 3 6:8 7
4 S. Wanderers 6 1 0 5 7:18 3
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 5)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 5 3 1 1 12:8 10
2 O Higgins 5 2 2 1 10:7 8
3 Recoleta 5 1 2 2 5:8 5
4 U. Espanola 5 1 1 3 4:8 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 6)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 1 1 9:5 13
2 Curico Unido 6 3 2 1 10:7 11
3 Rangers 6 2 0 4 4:7 6
4 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 8:12 4
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 7)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportes Santa Cruz 6 4 1 1 11:6 13
2 A. Italiano 6 4 0 2 9:7 12
3 Palestino 6 3 1 2 12:9 10
4 Magallanes 6 0 0 6 5:15 0
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 8)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 D. Concepcion 6 4 1 1 10:6 13
2 D. Puerto Montt 6 3 1 2 8:6 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 0 4 7:9 6
4 Deportes Temuco 6 1 2 3 4:8 5
Promotion - Copa Chile (Play Offs)