Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo

Coquimbo

1 - 0

San Marcos de Arica

Our Tip

Match Events

18'

Rojas J.

Assist: Rodriguez P.

30'

Moya Godoy M.

43'

Soza L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. This leg finished 1-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

34%

Coquimbo

15%

Draws

51%

San Marcos de Arica

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Marcos de Arica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Coquimbo lately — more wins on the board than San Marcos de Arica.
51% — that's where the model lands on San Marcos de Arica taking it.
Coquimbo have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Coquimbo, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 6%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%

Coquimbo Clean Sheet 16%

San Marcos de Arica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Coquimbo	San Marcos de Arica
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	11	10
Draws	9	8
Losses	7	11
Goals Scored	1.3	1.17
Goals Conceded	0.96	1.1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 6, 2026 Copa Chile

Coquimbo vs San Marcos de Arica

1:0

Jun 27, 2026 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

0:1

May 10, 2025 Copa Chile

Coquimbo vs San Marcos de Arica

3:0

Jan 28, 2025 Copa Chile

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

2:2

Sep 28, 2021 Liga de Ascenso

San Marcos de Arica vs Coquimbo

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo Compare

Top Goalscorer Rojas J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

San Marcos de Arica Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 28 / 100

San Marcos de Arica 50 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Coquimbo San Marcos de Arica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Marcos de Arica Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Coquimbo scored in 85% of their last 27 outings.

San Marcos de Arica let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Coquimbo went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS San Marcos de Arica

1 Goals Scored 1.25

1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38

63% Over 1.5 88%

38% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)

22 Sept

Cobreloa

1 : 2

Coquimbo

16 Sept

Coquimbo

0 : 1

Huachipato

12 Sept

Cobresal

3 : 2

Coquimbo

06 Sept

U. De Chile

4 : 2

Coquimbo

02 Sept

Coquimbo

1 : 0

U. De Concepcion

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San Marcos de Arica

(Away)

03 Oct

Deportes Santa Cruz

1 : 2

San Marcos de Arica

13 Sept

San Marcos de Arica

3 : 0

Curico Unido

09 Sept

Recoleta

2 : 1

San Marcos de Arica

06 Sept

San Marcos de Arica

2 : 1

Copiapo

01 Sept

Cobreloa

2 : 0

San Marcos de Arica

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