Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coquimbo vs U. Catolica

Chile Chile

Liga de Primera Estadio Francisco Sánchez Rumoroso, Coquimbo
Wed, Aug 26, 2026
VS
10:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coquimbo host U. Catolica in the Liga de Primera. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Coquimbo at 1.34 goals for, 0.91 against; U. Catolica at 2.12 for, 1.27 against. Past meetings favor Coquimbo slightly — 4-1-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2026, ending 3:1. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.13) point toward Coquimbo. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Coquimbo
30%
Draws
33%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Coquimbo

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • U. Catolica have won more games recently than Coquimbo.
  • Coquimbo are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Coquimbo have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Coquimbo Clean Sheet 20%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo U. Catolica
Matches Played 35 33
Wins 17 20
Draws 11 5
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.34 2.12
Goals Conceded 0.91 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Coquimbo
3:1
Jan 25, 2026 Super Cup
Coquimbo vs U. Catolica
1:0
Jul 27, 2025 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Coquimbo
0:3
Feb 22, 2025 Liga de Primera
Coquimbo vs U. Catolica
1:0
Nov 9, 2024 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs Coquimbo
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo 67 / 100
U. Catolica 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COQ Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo scored in 83% of their last 35 games.

U. Catolica let in goals in 76% of their last 33 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Coquimbo has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Coquimbo VS U. Catolica
0.88 Goals Scored 1.63
0.63 Goals Conceded 1.75
50% Over 1.5 88%
13% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Coquimbo

(Home)
08 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 1
La Serena
06 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 0
San Marcos de Arica
01 Aug
Palestino
2 : 1
Coquimbo
12 Jul
Coquimbo
1 : 1
Union La Calera
08 Jul
Union La Calera
0 : 1
Coquimbo
Page 1 of 7

U. Catolica

(Away)
08 Aug
U. Catolica
2 : 0
Cobresal
02 Aug
D. Concepcion
3 : 0
U. Catolica
26 Jul
U. Catolica
3 : 3
La Serena
11 Jul
San Luis
4 : 0
U. Catolica
05 Jul
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Copiapo
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Colo Colo 18 15 0 3 38:17 45
2 U. De Chile 18 9 6 3 23:12 33
3 U. Catolica 18 9 3 6 40:26 30
4 Palestino 18 8 3 7 26:26 27
5 Everton 18 7 5 6 27:21 26
6 Nublense 17 6 8 3 22:21 26
7 Coquimbo 17 7 4 6 24:21 25
8 Limache 17 7 3 7 34:27 24
9 Huachipato 18 7 3 8 27:31 24
10 D. Concepcion 18 7 2 9 20:23 23
11 O Higgins 18 7 2 9 22:28 23
12 A. Italiano 18 5 5 8 22:25 20
13 La Serena 18 4 8 6 26:31 20
14 U. De Concepcion 17 5 4 8 13:28 19
15 Cobresal 18 5 2 11 26:34 17
16 Union La Calera 18 3 4 11 16:35 13
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga de Ascenso 2027 (Main)