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Coquimbo W vs Recoleta W

Chile Chile

Primera Division Women 2025
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Coquimbo W play Recoleta W in the Primera Division Women 2025. Coquimbo W are favorites here. Recently, Coquimbo W averaged 1.61 goals scored and 0.82 conceded. Recoleta W averaged 0.75 goals scored and 3.18 conceded. In past meetings, Coquimbo W won 3, Recoleta W won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 12, 2026 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Coquimbo W and 0.51 for Recoleta W. This points to a Coquimbo W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

74%
Coquimbo W
15%
Draws
11%
Recoleta W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Coquimbo W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Coquimbo W picked up more points recently compared to Recoleta W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 0.51 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 63%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 88%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 19%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 44%
Coquimbo W Clean Sheet 30%
Recoleta W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coquimbo W Recoleta W
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 3
Draws 7 2
Losses 7 23
Goals Scored 1.61 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.82 3.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 3.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2026 Primera Division Women
Coquimbo W vs Recoleta W
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Primera Division Women
Coquimbo W vs Recoleta W
5:0
Mar 19, 2025 Primera Division Women
Recoleta W vs Coquimbo W
0:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coquimbo W Compare

Top Goalscorer Bustos B.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Moreno A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Recoleta W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coquimbo W 73 / 100
Recoleta W 12 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coquimbo W Recoleta W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coquimbo W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Coquimbo W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +12.5%
1.52
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +10.3%
1.75
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Coquimbo W attacking → ← attacking Recoleta W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Coquimbo W scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Recoleta W let in goals in 100% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 4.67 goals.

Coquimbo W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Recoleta W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Low
Risk Factor

Busy schedule: Managers might rest key players, which can affect team cohesion.

Risk Factor

Regular league game. Both sides need the points to climb the table.

Risk Factor

Pressure: A tense match where mistakes or cards can change things quickly.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

49 Points in last 5 11
1.25 Goals expected (xG) 0.88
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 3.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Colo Colo W262600133:578
2U. De Chile W26212375:2165
3U. Espanola W26156541:2151
4Coquimbo W26155657:2950
5U. Catolica W26143960:2545
6Deportes Iquique W26136742:2645
7Huachipato W261131234:4936
8Palestino W26951240:4332
9S. Wanderers W26971040:4528
10S. Morning W26941329:5228
11U. De Concepcion W26461624:5518
12Recoleta W26431914:8115
13Everton W26351819:6914
14A. Italiano W26032319:1063