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Coria C.F. vs AD Cartaya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Picazzo A. M.
56' Event
Fran Palma
79' Event
Bernal J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 game between Coria C.F. and AD Cartaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Coria C.F..

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Coria C.F.
20%
Draws
30%
AD Cartaya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Coria C.F.

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • AD Cartaya carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Coria C.F. taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Coria C.F. Clean Sheet 68%
AD Cartaya Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coria C.F. AD Cartaya
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 17 13
Goals Scored 0.78 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.69 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.04 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 23, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs AD Cartaya
2:1
Nov 9, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Coria C.F.
1:1
May 5, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Coria C.F.
3:2
Dec 23, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
Coria C.F. vs AD Cartaya
0:2
Apr 16, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 10
AD Cartaya vs Coria C.F.
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coria C.F. Compare

Top Goalscorer Picazzo A. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bernal J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.52

AD Cartaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Fran Palma
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coria C.F. 59 / 100
AD Cartaya 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coria C.F. AD Cartaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Coria C.F. Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

AD Cartaya let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.

Coria C.F. has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Away concern: AD Cartaya has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Coria C.F. VS -
0.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
25% Over 2.5 0%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Coria C.F.

(Home)
06 May
Castilleja CF
0 : 2
Coria C.F.
03 May
Coria C.F.
2 : 2
Tomares UD
25 Apr
Coria C.F.
0 : 2
AD Ceuta B
19 Apr
Cordoba B
4 : 0
Coria C.F.
12 Apr
Coria C.F.
1 : 1
Chiclana
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AD Cartaya

(Away)
11 May
AD Cartaya
1 : 0
AD Ceuta B
04 May
Conil
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
01 May
AD Cartaya
0 : 2
CD Utrera
27 Apr
San Roque de Lepe
2 : 0
AD Cartaya
11 Apr
AD Cartaya
2 : 3
Bollullos
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Puente Genil 34 20 11 3 63:24 71
2 Ciudad de Lucena 34 21 5 8 49:20 68
3 CD Utrera 34 17 9 8 48:26 60
4 Atletico Central 34 17 8 9 46:27 59
5 Tomares UD 34 15 10 9 45:32 55
6 Bollullos 34 16 6 12 41:34 54
7 Pozoblanco 34 14 10 10 41:36 52
8 Atl. Onubense (Huelva B) 34 14 8 12 41:35 50
9 San Roque de Lepe 34 12 10 12 29:31 46
10 AD Ceuta B 34 11 13 10 41:38 46
11 Cordoba B 34 10 15 9 34:36 45
12 Conil 34 12 8 14 41:40 44
13 Sevilla C 34 10 11 13 32:40 41
14 Coria C.F. 34 9 9 16 34:48 36
15 AD Cartaya 34 8 11 15 31:53 35
16 La Palma CF 34 6 11 17 33:57 29
17 Atletico Espeleno 34 5 10 19 30:57 25
18 Inter Sevilla 34 3 7 24 25:70 16
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 10 2024/2025 (Play Offs)