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Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20

Brazil Brazil

Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 Logo

Corinthians U20

4 - 0
FT
Ferroviaria U20 Logo

Ferroviaria U20

Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Bahia
38' Event
Bahia
49' Event
Thomas P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Paulista U20 game between Corinthians U20 and Ferroviaria U20 finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians U20.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corinthians U20
20%
Draws
40%
Ferroviaria U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians U20 come out ahead of Ferroviaria U20 on wins alone.
  • 40% — that's where the model lands on Corinthians U20 taking it.
  • Regular Paulista U20 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Corinthians U20 have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Corinthians U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Ferroviaria U20 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians U20 Ferroviaria U20
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 19 17
Draws 5 8
Losses 8 6
Goals Scored 1.88 1.58
Goals Conceded 1 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
4:0
Sep 13, 2024 Paulista U20
Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
3:0
Aug 17, 2024 Paulista U20
Ferroviaria U20 vs Corinthians U20
1:1
Jan 10, 2023 Copinha
Ferroviaria U20 vs Corinthians U20
0:4
Jan 14, 2018 Copinha
Corinthians U20 vs Ferroviaria U20
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bahia
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thomas P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Ferroviaria U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians U20 40 / 100
Ferroviaria U20 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians U20 Ferroviaria U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Corinthians U20 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Corinthians U20 scored in 78% of their last 32 games.

Solid form: Corinthians U20 remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Ferroviaria U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 48% of 31 matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians U20 VS Ferroviaria U20
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians U20

(Home)
25 Sept
Corinthians U20
2 : 0
XV de Jau U20
21 Sept
XV de Jau U20
2 : 3
Corinthians U20
12 Sept
Corinthians U20
4 : 0
America SP U20
04 Sept
Sao Bento U20
0 : 0
Corinthians U20
21 Aug
Corinthians U20
1 : 2
CA Juventus U20
Page 1 of 7

Ferroviaria U20

(Away)
26 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 1
Flamengo SP U20
18 Sept
Flamengo SP U20
2 : 0
Ferroviaria U20
12 Sept
Ferroviaria U20
5 : 0
Sao Bento U20
05 Sept
Sertaozinho U20
1 : 1
Ferroviaria U20
21 Aug
Ferroviaria U20
2 : 0
Jabaquara U20
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santos U20 13 10 2 1 32:5 32
2 Corinthians U20 13 10 2 1 29:3 32
3 CA Juventus U20 13 9 1 3 35:16 28
4 Ferroviaria U20 13 7 4 2 21:9 25
5 Portuguesa U20 13 7 4 2 21:13 25
6 Sertaozinho U20 13 5 4 4 13:12 19
7 Portuguesa Santista U20 13 5 2 6 16:19 17
8 Ponte Preta U20 13 4 3 6 15:29 15
9 Uniao Suzano U20 13 4 2 7 10:21 14
10 Jabaquara U20 13 4 1 8 9:17 13
11 Itapirense U20 13 3 1 9 14:29 10
12 America SP U20 13 3 0 10 8:31 9
13 Sao Bento U20 13 2 3 8 14:24 9
14 Mirassol U20 13 1 5 7 12:21 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ibrachina U20 14 11 1 2 34:8 34
2 Sao Paulo U20 14 10 3 1 23:4 33
3 Novorizontino U20 14 7 4 3 23:13 25
4 Santo Andre U20 14 6 4 4 22:16 22
5 Desportivo U20 14 6 4 4 19:13 22
6 Osasco Sporting U20 14 5 6 3 19:17 21
7 Botafogo SP U20 14 4 7 3 24:17 19
8 Piracicaba U20 14 3 10 1 12:9 19
9 EC Sao Bernardo U20 14 3 7 4 18:18 16
10 Paulinense U20 14 4 3 7 13:18 15
11 CA Bandeirante U20 14 3 3 8 12:26 12
12 Uniao Sao Joao U20 14 2 6 6 11:15 12
13 Sao Caetano U20 14 3 2 9 14:25 11
14 Velo Clube U20 14 1 8 5 6:24 11
15 Aguai U20 14 2 2 10 10:37 8
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bragantino U20 14 13 0 1 61:9 39
2 Palmeiras U20 14 11 2 1 29:7 35
3 Guarani U20 14 11 1 2 28:11 34
4 Sfera U20 14 7 1 6 28:16 22
5 Osasco Audax U20 14 6 4 4 20:13 22
6 Agua Santa U20 14 6 3 5 19:23 21
7 Capivariano U20 14 5 6 3 20:14 21
8 Flamengo SP U20 14 5 2 7 11:20 17
9 XV de Jau U20 14 5 2 7 13:26 17
10 Gremio Prudente U20 14 4 4 6 22:25 16
11 Ituano U20 14 3 5 6 17:26 14
12 Referencia U20 14 4 1 9 11:21 13
13 Maua FC U20 14 2 3 9 7:28 9
14 Tanabi U20 14 2 3 9 11:37 9
15 Porto Football U20 14 2 1 11 6:27 7
Promotion - Paulista U20 (Play Offs)