Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Corinthians W vs Santos W

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro Women Neo Quimica Arena, Sao Paulo
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Aquino B.
45' Event
Thais Ferreira
46'
Sub
Pires S. In: Nath Pitbull
Out: Pires S.

AI Match Summary

The Brasileiro Women game between Corinthians W and Santos W finished 4-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Corinthians W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Corinthians W
15%
Draws
45%
Santos W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santos W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Corinthians W come out ahead of Santos W on wins alone.
  • Corinthians W are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Corinthians W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corinthians W Santos W
Matches Played 35 31
Wins 22 11
Draws 4 9
Losses 9 11
Goals Scored 2.17 1.58
Goals Conceded 1.03 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Brasileiro Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
4:1
May 21, 2026 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
2:2
Sep 20, 2025 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:0
May 14, 2025 Paulista Women
Santos W vs Corinthians W
0:3
Jun 6, 2024 Paulista Women
Corinthians W vs Santos W
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corinthians W Compare

Top Goalscorer Aquino B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Thais Ferreira
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santos W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ketlen
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corinthians W 77 / 100
Santos W 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corinthians W Santos W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corinthians W scored in 91% of their last 35 outings.

Santos W has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Corinthians W remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Corinthians W VS Santos W
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corinthians W

(Home)
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
03 Aug
CR Flamengo W
0 : 1
Corinthians W
29 Jul
Palmeiras W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
26 Jul
Corinthians W
4 : 0
Vitoria W
20 Jul
Ferroviaria W
1 : 0
Corinthians W
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Santos W

(Away)
09 Aug
Corinthians W
4 : 1
Santos W
02 Aug
Santos W
4 : 0
EC Juventude W
28 Jul
Bragantino W
1 : 1
Santos W
24 Jul
America Mineiro W
0 : 1
Santos W
18 Jul
Santos W
1 : 0
Taubate W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Corinthians W 15 12 1 2 40:14 37
2 Sao Paulo W 15 11 2 2 25:10 35
3 Palmeiras W 15 9 5 1 29:11 32
4 Bahia W 15 8 3 4 27:18 27
5 Ferroviaria W 15 7 6 2 20:12 27
6 Gremio W 15 7 3 5 22:14 24
7 Internacional W 15 7 3 5 17:14 24
8 Cruzeiro W 15 6 6 3 28:18 24
9 CR Flamengo W 15 6 6 3 22:17 24
10 Fluminense W 15 6 4 5 18:17 22
11 Bragantino W 15 6 2 7 22:23 20
12 Santos W 15 5 5 5 18:19 20
13 Atletico-MG W 15 3 4 8 14:21 13
14 Mixto W 15 2 6 7 9:24 12
15 EC Juventude W 15 2 4 9 7:17 10
16 America Mineiro W 15 1 4 10 7:28 7
17 Vitoria W 15 1 4 10 12:37 7
18 Botafogo RJ W 15 1 2 12 9:32 5
Promotion - Brasileiro Women (Play Offs)
Relegation - Brasileiro A2 Women 2027 (Main)