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Coritiba U20 vs Atletico-MG U20 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Brasileiro U20 B
Our Tip

Match Events

90' Event
Henrique J.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Coritiba U20
20%
Draws
56%
Atletico-MG U20
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Atletico-MG U20

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Atletico-MG U20 lately — more wins on the board than Coritiba U20.
  • Atletico-MG U20 are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Atletico-MG U20 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Atletico-MG U20, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Coritiba U20 Clean Sheet 20%
Atletico-MG U20 Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba U20 Atletico-MG U20
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 14 20
Draws 6 2
Losses 10 8
Goals Scored 1.83 2.53
Goals Conceded 1.07 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 17, 2026 Brasileiro U20 B
Coritiba U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
0:1
May 22, 2021 Copa do Brasil U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Coritiba U20
0:2
May 16, 2021 Copa do Brasil U20
Coritiba U20 vs Atletico-MG U20
2:2
Oct 16, 2019 Brasileiro U20
Atletico-MG U20 vs Coritiba U20
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba U20 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Atletico-MG U20 Compare

Top Goalscorer Henrique J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba U20 12 / 100
Atletico-MG U20 74 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba U20 Atletico-MG U20

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Atletico-MG U20 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Atletico-MG U20's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Coritiba U20's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Recent resilience: Coritiba U20 stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba U20 VS Atletico-MG U20
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 50%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba U20

(Home)
17 Jun
Coritiba U20
0 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
27 May
Coritiba U20
1 : 0
Botafogo SP U20
22 May
Coritiba U20
0 : 1
Patriotas U20
19 May
Vila Nova FC U20
2 : 2
Coritiba U20
16 May
Patriotas U20
1 : 1
Coritiba U20
Page 1 of 6

Atletico-MG U20

(Away)
08 Oct
Atletico-MG U20
2 : 1
Athletic Club U20
02 Oct
Coimbra Sports U20
1 : 3
Atletico-MG U20
26 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
5 : 1
Coimbra Sports U20
19 Sept
Atletico-MG U20
4 : 2
Nacional de Muriae U20
13 Sept
America MG U20
4 : 1
Atletico-MG U20
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Ceara U20 3
Internacional U20 1
Coritiba U20 0
Atletico-MG U20 1
Atletico GO U20 0
Goias U20 1
CRB U20 1
Sport Recife U20 0
Semi-finals
Ceara U20 2
Atletico-MG U20 1
Goias U20 2
CRB U20 1
Final
Ceara U20 1
Goias U20 2