Sport Picks
Coritiba vs Fluminense
Brazil
Serie A Betano Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba 
Match Events
17'
17'
Serna K.
21'
21'
Fernando Seabra
56'
56'
Sub
Felipe Jonatan In: Breno Lopes
Out: Felipe Jonatan
AI Match Summary
The Serie A Betano game between Coritiba and Fluminense finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
4%
6%
90%
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Fluminense
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
95%
/ Very High Confidence
- Fluminense carry the better recent record into this one.
- Win probability leans Fluminense's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular Serie A Betano form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 89%
Over 1.5 Goals 79.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 17%
Fluminense Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Coritiba | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 13 |
| Draws | 8 | 9 |
| Losses | 9 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.14 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.14 | 1.50 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.29 | 1.25 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 4, 2026 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Fluminense
1:1
Nov 26, 2023 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Coritiba
2:1
Jul 24, 2023 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Fluminense
2:0
Aug 20, 2022 Serie A Betano
Fluminense vs Coritiba
5:2
May 1, 2022 Serie A Betano
Coritiba vs Fluminense
3:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Coritiba Compare
Top Goalscorer Tiago Coser
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.88
Avg xA / game 0.57
Fluminense Compare
Top Goalscorer John Kennedy
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Coritiba 10 / 100
Fluminense 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Coritiba Fluminense
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick FLU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Fluminense conceded in 80% of 30 recent games.
H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.
Coritiba's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Coritiba went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Coritiba VS Fluminense
1.14 Goals Scored 1.5
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.25
71% Over 1.5 88%
57% Over 2.5 63%
29% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Coritiba
(Home) 30 May
Flamengo RJ
3 : 0 Coritiba
25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
17 May
Santos
0 : 3 Coritiba
13 May
Coritiba
0 : 2 Santos
09 May
Coritiba
2 : 2 Internacional
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25 May
Coritiba
3 : 2 Bahia
13 May
Coritiba
0 : 2 Santos
09 May
Coritiba
2 : 2 Internacional
19 Apr
Coritiba
2 : 0 Atletico-MG
04 Apr
Coritiba
1 : 1 Fluminense
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Fluminense
(Away) 17 Jul
Fluminense
1 : 1 Bragantino
12 Jul
Fluminense
2 : 0 Bahia
08 Jul
Fluminense
6 : 1 Nova Iguacu
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Fluminense
28 May
Fluminense
3 : 1 Deportivo La Guaira
Page 1 of 6
31 May
Cruzeiro
1 : 1 Fluminense
23 May
Mirassol
1 : 0 Fluminense
07 May
Ind. Rivadavia
1 : 1 Fluminense
03 May
Internacional
2 : 0 Fluminense
30 Apr
Bolivar
2 : 0 Fluminense
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Palmeiras | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 41 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 32 |
| 4 | Bragantino | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 30 |
| 5 | Athletico-PR | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 30 |
| 6 | Bahia | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 30 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 9 | Botafogo RJ | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 25 |
| 10 | Atletico-MG | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | 25 |
| 11 | Vitoria | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | 25 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | 24 |
| 13 | Cruzeiro | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | 24 |
| 14 | Internacional | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | 21 |
| 16 | Gremio | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | 21 |
| 17 | Vasco | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | 20 |
| 18 | Mirassol | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | 19 |
| 19 | Remo | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | 18 |
| 20 | Chapecoense-SC | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | 9 |
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B 2027 (Main)