Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Coritiba vs Operario-PR

Brazil Brazil

Paranaense Estádio Couto Pereira, Curitiba
Sat, Feb 21, 2026
2 - 3
07:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

28'
Vinicius Diniz
28'
Willian Oliveira
45'
Aylon

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Coritiba
30%
Draws
43%
Operario-PR
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Operario-PR

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Operario-PR carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 43% — that's where the model lands on Operario-PR taking it.
  • Operario-PR arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Operario-PR, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%
Coritiba Clean Sheet 23%
Operario-PR Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Coritiba Operario-PR
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 10 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.3 1.6
Goals Conceded 1.6 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
2:3
Feb 14, 2026 Paranaense
Operario-PR vs Coritiba
2:2
Aug 29, 2025 Serie B
Operario-PR vs Coritiba
1:0
Apr 26, 2025 Serie B
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
2:0
Feb 11, 2025 Paranaense
Coritiba vs Operario-PR
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Coritiba Compare

Top Goalscorer Maicon
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lucas Ronier
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Operario-PR Compare

Top Goalscorer Gaucho L.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Aylon
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Coritiba 13 / 100
Operario-PR 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Coritiba Operario-PR

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Operario-PR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Operario-PR has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Coritiba found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Coritiba stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Coritiba VS Operario-PR
1.5 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Coritiba

(Home)
19 Sept
Vasco
5 : 0
Coritiba
12 Sept
Coritiba
3 : 3
Athletico-PR
06 Sept
Coritiba
1 : 2
Mirassol
31 Aug
Remo
2 : 3
Coritiba
23 Aug
Coritiba
2 : 1
Corinthians
Page 1 of 6

Operario-PR

(Away)
26 Sept
Operario-PR
2 : 2
Ceara
22 Sept
Criciuma
0 : 2
Operario-PR
15 Sept
Nautico
3 : 3
Operario-PR
09 Sept
Operario-PR
3 : 0
CRB
06 Sept
Londrina
1 : 2
Operario-PR
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Londrina 3
Sao Joseense 2
Foz do Iguacu 1
Athletico-PR 8
Azuriz 0
Operario-PR 4
Coritiba 3
Cianorte 0
Semi-finals
Londrina 3
Athletico-PR 2
Operario-PR 5
Coritiba 4
Final
Londrina 0
Operario-PR 1