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Cork City vs Athlone

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Keating R.
14' Event
Mpongo H.
33' Event
Keating R.

AI Match Summary

Cork City in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Cork City.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Cork City
35%
Draws
38%
Athlone
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Athlone

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cork City lately — more wins on the board than Athlone.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Cork City taking it.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Cork City Clean Sheet 18%
Athlone Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Athlone
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 19 10
Draws 4 8
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.2 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Athlone
3:2
May 22, 2026 Division 1
Athlone vs Cork City
0:3
Mar 27, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Athlone
4:1
Oct 11, 2024 Division 1
Athlone vs Cork City
4:1
Aug 9, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Athlone
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Keating R.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Mpongo H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Athlone Compare

Top Goalscorer Grogan P.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 41 / 100
Athlone 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Athlone

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 4:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Athlone has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Cork City has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Athlone
2.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
28 Aug
Cork City
2 : 0
Wexford
21 Aug
Treaty United
2 : 2
Cork City
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Athlone

(Away)
25 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
3 : 3
Athlone
18 Sept
Athlone
3 : 0
Kerry
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
28 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Bray
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 32 22 5 5 69:30 71
2 Bray 33 15 8 10 64:45 53
3 UC Dublin 33 14 7 12 57:48 49
4 Cobh Ramblers 33 13 7 13 42:49 46
5 Kerry 33 12 9 12 40:39 45
6 Athlone 33 12 9 12 39:39 45
7 Longford 32 12 8 12 42:41 44
8 Wexford 33 11 7 15 37:48 40
9 Treaty United 33 9 9 15 33:48 36
10 Finn Harps 33 6 7 20 30:66 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)