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Cork City vs Finn Harps - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Fri, Oct 9, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cork City host Finn Harps in the Division 1. This has Cork City written all over it on paper. Cork City have averaged 2.03 scored and 1.38 conceded recently, against Finn Harps's 0.83 scored and 2.1 conceded. Head-to-head, Cork City have won 3 to Finn Harps's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Jul 31, 2026, ending 0:3. The numbers (2.81 xG vs 1.13) point toward Cork City. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cork City
15%
Draws
36%
Finn Harps
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cork City lately — more wins on the board than Finn Harps.
  • Model gives Cork City a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Cork City Clean Sheet 20%
Finn Harps Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Finn Harps
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 5
Draws 4 4
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.03 0.83
Goals Conceded 1.38 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 2.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3
May 29, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
4:0
Apr 3, 2026 Division 1
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:0
Sep 12, 2025 FAI Cup
Finn Harps vs Cork City
0:3
Sep 20, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Finn Harps
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 49 / 100
Finn Harps 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Finn Harps

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Finn Harps let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Finn Harps lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Finn Harps
2.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
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Finn Harps

(Away)
02 Oct
Finn Harps
1 : 2
Kerry
25 Sept
Treaty United
2 : 1
Finn Harps
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
11 Sept
Wexford
1 : 3
Finn Harps
04 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Athlone
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71:34 71
2 Bray 34 15 8 11 65:49 53
3 UC Dublin 34 15 7 12 61:48 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 46:50 49
5 Longford 34 13 9 12 47:45 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 42:40 48
7 Athlone 34 13 9 12 41:40 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 40:51 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 31:68 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)