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Cork City vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Williams D.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Murphy C.
41'
Adenekan S.

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Cork City
15%
Draws
42%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Longford haven't matched Cork City's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Cork City have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Cork City Clean Sheet 10%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Longford
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 20 11
Draws 3 7
Losses 6 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.14 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:4
May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzpatrick J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtagh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.55
Avg xA / game 1.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 30 / 100
Longford 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Longford Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City found the back of the net in 90% of recent matches (29 games).

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Longford let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Cork City stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Longford
2 Goals Scored 3
2.63 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
07 Aug
Cork City
3 : 1
Kerry
03 Aug
Cork City
3 : 2
Athlone
31 Jul
Finn Harps
0 : 3
Cork City
24 Jul
UC Dublin
5 : 2
Cork City
17 Jul
Shamrock Rovers
4 : 1
Cork City
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
07 Aug
Athlone
2 : 1
Longford
03 Aug
Longford
5 : 0
Finn Harps
31 Jul
Treaty United
0 : 1
Longford
25 Jul
Longford
1 : 2
Wexford
18 Jul
Baldoyle Utd.
0 : 8
Longford
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 27 20 3 4 57:23 63
2 Bray 27 12 7 8 54:37 43
3 UC Dublin 27 13 4 10 46:32 43
4 Longford 27 10 7 10 35:34 37
5 Cobh Ramblers 27 11 4 12 29:37 37
6 Kerry 27 9 8 10 34:33 35
7 Wexford 27 9 7 11 32:39 34
8 Athlone 27 8 7 12 26:33 31
9 Treaty United 27 7 8 12 26:39 29
10 Finn Harps 27 5 7 15 21:53 22
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)