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Cork City vs Longford - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross, Cork
Cork City Logo

Cork City

3 - 4
FT
Longford Logo

Longford

Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Williams D.
(Penalty)
28' Event
Murphy C.
41'
Adenekan S.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Longford in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Longford.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Cork City
20%
Draws
51%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Longford

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Longford haven't matched Cork City's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Cork City Clean Sheet 17%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Longford
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 16 13
Draws 3 5
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.11 1.75
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.94 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
2:1
Jul 10, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:4
May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cork City Compare

Top Goalscorer Murphy C.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Fitzpatrick J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.49
Avg xA / game 0.97

Longford Compare

Top Goalscorer Manuel P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Murtagh D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 30 / 100
Longford 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Longford

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cork City Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Longford has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

Cork City went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Longford
2.13 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cork City

(Home)
02 Oct
Athlone
2 : 1
Cork City
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
Cork City
2 : 3
Cobh Ramblers
04 Sept
Bray
1 : 1
Cork City
Page 1 of 6

Longford

(Away)
02 Oct
Wexford
3 : 3
Longford
26 Sept
Longford
2 : 1
Cork City
18 Sept
Finn Harps
0 : 1
Longford
12 Sept
Longford
0 : 2
Treaty United
05 Sept
Longford
0 : 1
Kerry
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cork City 34 22 5 7 71:34 71
2 Bray 34 15 8 11 65:49 53
3 UC Dublin 34 15 7 12 61:48 52
4 Cobh Ramblers 34 14 7 13 46:50 49
5 Longford 34 13 9 12 47:45 48
6 Kerry 34 13 9 12 42:40 48
7 Athlone 34 13 9 12 41:40 48
8 Wexford 34 11 8 15 40:51 41
9 Treaty United 34 9 9 16 33:52 36
10 Finn Harps 34 6 7 21 31:68 25
Promotion - Premier Division 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Play Offs)