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Cork City vs Longford

Ireland Ireland

Division 1 Turner's Cross
Fri, Jul 10, 2026
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Cork City play Longford in the Division 1. Cork City are favorites here. Recently, Cork City averaged 2.38 goals scored and 0.25 conceded. Longford averaged 1.5 goals scored and 1.88 conceded. In past meetings, Cork City won 5, Longford won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 16, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.13 for Cork City and 0.88 for Longford. This points to a Cork City double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Cork City
6%
Draws
4%
Longford
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Cork City

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Cork City has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Longford.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Cork City.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Cork City Clean Sheet 20%
Longford Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cork City Longford
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 19 9
Draws 5 7
Losses 4 11
Goals Scored 2.38 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
0:2
Mar 13, 2026 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:1
Aug 30, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
3:2
Jun 7, 2024 Division 1
Cork City vs Longford
2:0
Apr 20, 2024 Division 1
Longford vs Cork City
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cork City 85 / 100
Longford 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cork City Longford

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cork City scored in 82% of their last 28 games.

Longford let in goals in 78% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Cork City went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Longford lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Cork City VS Longford
2.38 Goals Scored 1.5
0.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cork City21163242:1151
2UC Dublin21113735:1936
3Bray2187639:3031
4Cobh Ramblers2194825:2931
5Wexford2176825:2927
6Kerry2167821:2525
7Longford2167821:2625
8Athlone2166919:2624
9Finn Harps21471019:3719
10Treaty United21381019:3317