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Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor

Turkey Turkey

3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

85' Event
Yagci K.

AI Match Summary

Corluspor in this 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corluspor.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Corluspor
6%
Draws
4%
Bursa Yildirimspor
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Corluspor

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Corluspor lately — more wins on the board than Bursa Yildirimspor.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Corluspor taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Corluspor Clean Sheet 68%
Bursa Yildirimspor Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Corluspor Bursa Yildirimspor
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 20 11
Draws 8 10
Losses 6 9
Goals Scored 2.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 0.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 27, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:1
Apr 23, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:3
Mar 25, 2026 3. Lig Group 1
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
1:0
Nov 30, 2025 3. Lig Group 1
Bursa Yildirimspor vs Corluspor
2:1
Feb 1, 2025 3. Lig Group 3
Corluspor vs Bursa Yildirimspor
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Corluspor Compare

Top Goalscorer Yagci K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Bursa Yildirimspor Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Corluspor 95 / 100
Bursa Yildirimspor 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Corluspor Bursa Yildirimspor

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick COR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Corluspor scored in 88% of their last 34 outings.

Corluspor went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Bursa Yildirimspor has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.00 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Corluspor VS Bursa Yildirimspor
2.25 Goals Scored 1.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Corluspor

(Home)
16 May
Corluspor
1 : 0
Malatya
08 May
Corluspor
3 : 1
Kucukcekmece
04 May
Kucukcekmece
1 : 1
Corluspor
27 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
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Bursa Yildirimspor

(Away)
27 Apr
Corluspor
1 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
23 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
2 : 3
Corluspor
18 Apr
Inegol Kafkas
3 : 1
Bursa Yildirimspor
12 Apr
Bursa Yildirimspor
0 : 0
Galata Spor Kulubu
05 Apr
Beykoz Ishakli Spor
1 : 0
Bursa Yildirimspor
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Inegol Kafkas30188449:2662
2Corluspor30187557:2361
3Kucukcekmece30175854:3056
4Etimesgut301410636:2352
5Bursa Yildirimspor301310738:3149
6Silivrispor301271142:3643
7Beykoz Ishakli Spor30913834:3540
8Gemlikspor301081233:4238
9Yesil Yalova FK309101138:3637
10Galata Spor Kulubu301071334:3437
11Bulvarspor30981335:4735
12Inkilap Futbol Spor Kulubu30714923:3635
13Cankaya FK308101238:3734
14Kestel Cilekspor30861627:3930
151926 Polatli Belediye30771624:4428
16Edirnespor Genclik30362122:6515
Promotion - 3. Lig Group 1 2025/2026 (Play Offs)