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Cornella vs CF Vilanova - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 5 2025/2026 Nou Municipal de Cornella, Cornella de Llobregat
Sun, May 24, 2026
1 - 2
10:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

59' Event
Raventos Fageda J.
87'
Serrano O.
87'
Serrano O.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-2, with CF Vilanova advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Cornella
35%
Draws
32%
CF Vilanova
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Cornella's 1.26 goals per match outpaces what CF Vilanova have produced (1.14).
  • Cornella are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor CF Vilanova, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Cornella Clean Sheet 68%
CF Vilanova Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cornella CF Vilanova
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 13 13
Draws 6 7
Losses 8 8
Goals Scored 1.26 1.14
Goals Conceded 1.11 0.89
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 24, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs CF Vilanova
1:2
May 17, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
0:1
Mar 29, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
2:0
Nov 15, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
Cornella vs CF Vilanova
1:1
May 6, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 5
CF Vilanova vs Cornella
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cornella Compare

Top Goalscorer Pereira A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

CF Vilanova Compare

Top Goalscorer Raventos Fageda J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gimeno Lara P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cornella 51 / 100
CF Vilanova 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cornella CF Vilanova

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cornella went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Cornella scored in 74% of their last 27 games.

CF Vilanova let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Cornella VS CF Vilanova
1.63 Goals Scored 1
1.25 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Cornella

(Home)
27 Sept
Mollerussa
1 : 1
Cornella
19 Sept
Cornella
0 : 0
L Hospitalet
12 Sept
Cornella
3 : 1
Cerdanyola del Valles
06 Sept
CE Atletic Lleida
2 : 2
Cornella
29 Aug
Barcelona B
1 : 2
Cornella
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CF Vilanova

(Away)
27 Sept
Pobla Mafumet
2 : 3
CF Vilanova
19 Sept
CF Vilanova
1 : 1
Peralada
13 Sept
Mollerussa
0 : 1
CF Vilanova
05 Sept
CF Vilanova
2 : 2
L Hospitalet
26 Aug
Terrassa
0 : 0
CF Vilanova
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
CF Badalona 3
L Hospitalet 3
Cornella 2
CF Vilanova 2
Final
CF Badalona 4
Cornella 4