Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Corralejo in this Tercera Division - Group 12 2011/2012 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Corralejo.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
53%
15%
32%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Corralejo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
53%
/ Medium Confidence
- Corralejo have won more games recently than Tijarafe.
- Model gives Corralejo a 53% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- Corralejo have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Corralejo Clean Sheet 20%
Tijarafe Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Corralejo | Tijarafe |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 32 | 31 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 7 | 4 |
| Losses | 13 | 22 |
| Goals Scored | 1.09 | 0.94 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.16 | 2.39 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.75 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 9, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Corralejo
1:4
Oct 20, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Tijarafe
1:0
Apr 22, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Corralejo vs Tijarafe
2:0
Nov 19, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Corralejo
3:0
May 7, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 12
Tijarafe vs Corralejo
1:2
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Corralejo 85 / 100
Tijarafe 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Corralejo Tijarafe
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Corralejo Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Tijarafe has conceded goals in 84% of their last 31 outings.
Attacking prowess: Corralejo scored in 63% of their last 32 outings.
Games between these two average 2.80 goals.
Corralejo went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Corralejo VS Tijarafe
1.38 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Corralejo
(Home) 18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1 San Isidro
11 May
Ibarra
2 : 0 Corralejo
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1 Vera CD
28 Apr
SD Tenisca
1 : 1 Corralejo
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1 Union Viera
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18 May
Corralejo
2 : 1 San Isidro
05 May
Corralejo
3 : 1 Vera CD
21 Apr
Corralejo
3 : 1 Union Viera
07 Apr
Corralejo
0 : 1 Telde
28 Mar
Corralejo
1 : 1 Las Palmas B
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Tijarafe
(Away) 19 May
Tijarafe
3 : 0 Vecindario
12 May
Estrella
5 : 1 Tijarafe
04 May
Tijarafe
1 : 0 UD Gomera
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0 Tijarafe
20 Apr
Tijarafe
2 : 3 San Isidro
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12 May
Estrella
5 : 1 Tijarafe
28 Apr
Las Zocas
4 : 0 Tijarafe
13 Apr
Ibarra
2 : 0 Tijarafe
28 Mar
SD Tenisca
2 : 1 Tijarafe
17 Mar
San Pedro Martir
0 : 1 Tijarafe
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Marino | 38 | 23 | 7 | 8 | 77:35 | 76 |
| 2 | SD Tenisca | 38 | 22 | 6 | 10 | 60:41 | 72 |
| 3 | Las Palmas B | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 68:29 | 71 |
| 4 | Vera CD | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 68:40 | 70 |
| 5 | Lanzarote | 38 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 50:34 | 69 |
| 6 | Atletico Granadilla | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 55:37 | 65 |
| 7 | Estrella | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 47:34 | 63 |
| 8 | Tenerife B | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 70:53 | 59 |
| 9 | Corralejo | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 49:45 | 58 |
| 10 | Telde | 38 | 16 | 6 | 16 | 55:52 | 54 |
| 11 | San Pedro Martir | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 50:59 | 47 |
| 12 | UD San Andres y Sauces | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 47:65 | 46 |
| 13 | Mensajero | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 54:63 | 45 |
| 14 | Villa Santa Brigida | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 56:66 | 45 |
| 15 | Atletico Victoria | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 45:62 | 45 |
| 16 | Las Zocas | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 46:60 | 41 |
| 17 | Tijarafe | 38 | 11 | 5 | 22 | 39:67 | 38 |
| 18 | CD Laguna | 38 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 35:55 | 37 |
| 19 | Real Sporting San Jose | 38 | 8 | 8 | 22 | 36:68 | 32 |
| 20 | CD Charco Del Pino | 38 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 36:78 | 22 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2011/2012 (Main)
