Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Correcaminos vs Alacranes de Durango

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Marte R. Gómez, Ciudad Victoria
Our Tip

Match Events

7'
Flores S.
38'
Sandoval T.
45'
Ortega W.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX game between Correcaminos and Alacranes de Durango finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Correcaminos
35%
Draws
32%
Alacranes de Durango
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

33% / Low Confidence
  • Correcaminos haven't matched Alacranes de Durango's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Correcaminos a 33% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 20%
Alacranes de Durango Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correcaminos Alacranes de Durango
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 16
Draws 8 7
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.66
Goals Conceded 1.93 0.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Alacranes de Durango
0:0
Mar 29, 2023 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Correcaminos
1:0
Jul 13, 2022 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Alacranes de Durango
5:3
Apr 23, 2011 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Alacranes de Durango
3:0
Nov 14, 2010 Liga de Expansion MX
Alacranes de Durango vs Correcaminos
0:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correcaminos 85 / 100
Alacranes de Durango 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correcaminos Alacranes de Durango

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Correcaminos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correcaminos scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Correcaminos stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Alacranes de Durango let in goals in 52% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Correcaminos VS Alacranes de Durango
2.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 25%
88% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Correcaminos

(Home)
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6

Alacranes de Durango

(Away)
18 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
2 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
11 Sept
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
05 Sept
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 1
Tlaxcala
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
23 Aug
Alacranes de Durango
1 : 2
Leones Negros
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Atletico Morelia 9 7 0 2 19:9 21
2 Atletico La Paz 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
3 Leones Negros 9 5 2 2 19:12 17
4 Zacatecas Mineros 10 5 2 3 21:15 17
5 Piratas 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
6 Correcaminos 10 4 3 3 19:18 15
7 Cancun 9 4 2 3 17:11 14
8 Tapatio 9 4 2 3 17:14 14
9 Dorados de Sinaloa 9 3 4 2 17:13 13
10 Venados FC 9 4 1 4 22:19 13
11 Alacranes de Durango 9 3 2 4 6:9 11
12 Jaiba Brava 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
13 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 3 1 6 8:18 10
14 Tlaxcala 9 2 2 5 14:21 8
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 9 1 4 4 10:16 7
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 9 1 0 8 5:28 3
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)