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Correcaminos vs Jaiba Brava Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Marte R. Gómez, Ciudad Victoria
Our Tip

Match Events

34'
Manzanarez O.
35'
Sub
Cruz C. In: Gonzalez R.
Out: Cruz C.
55' Event
Islas O.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Correcaminos in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Correcaminos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

39%
Correcaminos
30%
Draws
31%
Jaiba Brava
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Correcaminos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Correcaminos haven't matched Jaiba Brava's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Correcaminos a 42% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 15%
Jaiba Brava Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correcaminos Jaiba Brava
Matches Played 30 33
Wins 8 14
Draws 8 8
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 1.3 1.36
Goals Conceded 1.87 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Jaiba Brava
1:0
Mar 19, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Correcaminos
3:1
Sep 13, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Jaiba Brava
1:2
Jan 31, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Jaiba Brava
2:1
Aug 16, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Jaiba Brava vs Correcaminos
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correcaminos 41 / 100
Jaiba Brava 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correcaminos Jaiba Brava

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Correcaminos found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Jaiba Brava conceded in 79% of 33 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Correcaminos went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Correcaminos VS Jaiba Brava
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 63%
88% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Correcaminos

(Home)
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1
Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2
Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1
Correcaminos
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6

Jaiba Brava

(Away)
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0
Jaiba Brava
20 Sept
Jaiba Brava
1 : 1
Dorados de Sinaloa
12 Sept
Tlaxcala
3 : 1
Jaiba Brava
06 Sept
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3
Venados FC
30 Aug
Zacatecas Mineros
2 : 0
Jaiba Brava
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Atletico Morelia 10 7 0 3 20:11 21
2 Atletico La Paz 10 6 2 2 23:11 20
3 Leones Negros 10 6 2 2 21:13 20
4 Zacatecas Mineros 10 5 2 3 21:15 17
5 Venados FC 10 5 1 4 24:20 16
6 Piratas 10 4 3 3 12:10 15
7 Correcaminos 10 4 3 3 19:18 15
8 Cancun 10 4 2 4 18:15 14
9 Tapatio 9 4 2 3 17:14 14
10 Alacranes de Durango 10 4 2 4 7:9 14
11 Dorados de Sinaloa 10 3 4 3 17:14 13
12 Tlaxcala 10 3 2 5 18:22 11
13 Jaiba Brava 10 3 2 5 11:16 11
14 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 10 3 1 6 8:18 10
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 10 1 4 5 11:18 7
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 9 1 0 8 5:28 3
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)