Sport Picks
Correcaminos vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
Mexico
Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Marte R. Gómez, Ciudad Victoria 
Match Events
30'
30'
Rodriguez S.
45'
45'
Arevalo T.
58'
58'
Sub
Torres D. In: Mendoza B.
Out: Torres D.
AI Match Summary
Correcaminos in this Liga de Expansion MX matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Correcaminos.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
50%
20%
30%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Correcaminos
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
50%
/ Medium Confidence
- Form's been kind to Tepatitlan de Morelos lately — more wins on the board than Correcaminos.
- Correcaminos are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.2%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 68%
Tepatitlan de Morelos Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Correcaminos | Tepatitlan de Morelos |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 10 |
| Draws | 8 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.3 | 1.2 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.87 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.75 | 1.25 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 1, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
3:1
Feb 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Correcaminos
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
1:4
Mar 7, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Tepatitlan de Morelos
2:1
Sep 21, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Tepatitlan de Morelos vs Correcaminos
6:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Correcaminos Compare
Top Goalscorer Mendoza B.
2 Goals Assists Leader Ruiz A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38
Tepatitlan de Morelos Compare
Top Goalscorer Arevalo T.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Correcaminos 95 / 100
Tepatitlan de Morelos 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Correcaminos Tepatitlan de Morelos
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Correcaminos Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Correcaminos scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Tepatitlan de Morelos let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.
Solid form: Correcaminos remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Correcaminos VS Tepatitlan de Morelos
2.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1.88 Goals Conceded 3.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
88% Over 3.5 75%
Recent Form & Match History
Correcaminos
(Home) 26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
19 Sept
Atletico La Paz
3 : 1 Correcaminos
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
06 Sept
Piratas
4 : 1 Correcaminos
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Correcaminos
1 : 0 Jaiba Brava
12 Sept
Correcaminos
2 : 2 Cancun
29 Aug
Correcaminos
0 : 0 Alacranes de Durango
15 Aug
Correcaminos
2 : 3 Tapatio
01 Aug
Correcaminos
3 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 4
Tepatitlan de Morelos
(Away) 19 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
0 : 1 Zacatecas Mineros
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
04 Sept
Tepatitlan de Morelos
1 : 4 Dorados de Sinaloa
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
21 Aug
Tepatitlan de Morelos
3 : 2 Tlaxcala
Page 1 of 6
12 Sept
Venados FC
5 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
29 Aug
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
6 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
14 Aug
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
1 : 0 Tepatitlan de Morelos
01 Aug
Correcaminos
3 : 1 Tepatitlan de Morelos
31 May
Jaiba Brava
4 : 3 Tepatitlan de Morelos
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Club Atletico Morelia | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 19:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Atletico La Paz | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 23:11 | 20 |
| 3 | Leones Negros | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 19:12 | 17 |
| 4 | Zacatecas Mineros | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 21:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Piratas | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Correcaminos | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 19:18 | 15 |
| 7 | Cancun | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:11 | 14 |
| 8 | Tapatio | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 17:14 | 14 |
| 9 | Dorados de Sinaloa | 9 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 17:13 | 13 |
| 10 | Venados FC | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 22:19 | 13 |
| 11 | Alacranes de Durango | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 6:9 | 11 |
| 12 | Jaiba Brava | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 11:16 | 11 |
| 13 | Alebrijes de Oaxaca | 10 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8:18 | 10 |
| 14 | Tlaxcala | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:21 | 8 |
| 15 | Cruz Azul Hidalgo | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10:16 | 7 |
| 16 | Tepatitlan de Morelos | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 5:28 | 3 |
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)
