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Correcaminos vs Venados FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga de Expansion MX Estadio Marte R. Gómez, Ciudad Victoria
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ochoa Brandon
25'
Ortega W.
38'
Perez O.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Expansion MX game between Correcaminos and Venados FC finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Correcaminos
35%
Draws
53%
Venados FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Venados FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Venados FC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 53% — that's where the model lands on Venados FC taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Correcaminos Clean Sheet 12%
Venados FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Correcaminos Venados FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 7 12
Draws 10 8
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.26 2.03
Goals Conceded 1.77 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 31, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
0:0
Mar 7, 2026 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Correcaminos
0:1
Sep 27, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
3:6
Mar 21, 2025 Liga de Expansion MX
Correcaminos vs Venados FC
1:1
Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Expansion MX
Venados FC vs Correcaminos
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Correcaminos 22 / 100
Venados FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Correcaminos Venados FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Venados FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Venados FC let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Correcaminos scored in 77% of their last 31 games.

Correcaminos went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Correcaminos VS Venados FC
1.13 Goals Scored 2
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Correcaminos

(Home)
31 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Venados FC
25 Oct
Tlaxcala
2 : 0
Correcaminos
17 Oct
Correcaminos
1 : 2
Dorados de Sinaloa
09 Oct
Alebrijes de Oaxaca
2 : 1
Correcaminos
03 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Cruz Azul Hidalgo
Page 1 of 7

Venados FC

(Away)
31 Oct
Correcaminos
0 : 0
Venados FC
24 Oct
Venados FC
3 : 2
Alacranes de Durango
18 Oct
Cancun
1 : 1
Venados FC
10 Oct
Venados FC
1 : 1
Leones Negros
03 Oct
Atletico La Paz
1 : 2
Venados FC
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico La Paz 15 9 3 3 36:18 30
2 Leones Negros 14 8 3 3 31:19 27
3 Club Atletico Morelia 14 8 2 4 25:16 26
4 Venados FC 15 7 4 4 31:25 25
5 Piratas 14 7 3 4 26:14 24
6 Cancun 14 6 4 4 26:18 22
7 Tlaxcala 15 6 4 5 29:27 22
8 Alebrijes de Oaxaca 15 7 1 7 15:25 22
9 Alacranes de Durango 14 6 3 5 18:14 21
10 Zacatecas Mineros 15 5 3 7 26:26 18
11 Tapatio 14 5 2 7 24:27 17
12 Correcaminos 15 4 5 6 21:24 17
13 Dorados de Sinaloa 15 4 4 7 23:32 16
14 Jaiba Brava 14 4 3 7 15:23 15
15 Cruz Azul Hidalgo 15 3 5 7 17:24 14
16 Tepatitlan de Morelos 14 2 1 11 10:41 7
Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Play Offs)