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Cortes vs Ezcabarte

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

36' Event
Ilundain P.
Own Goal
47' Event
Ouboulkassem A.
90' Event
Gonzalez J.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 game between Cortes and Ezcabarte finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Cortes
15%
Draws
36%
Ezcabarte
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cortes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ezcabarte come out ahead of Cortes on wins alone.
  • Ezcabarte are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Cortes Clean Sheet 10%
Ezcabarte Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Ezcabarte
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 7
Losses 16 10
Goals Scored 1.1 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 22, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Ezcabarte
2:1
Nov 8, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Cortes
3:0
Apr 20, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Ezcabarte
0:1
Dec 2, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Cortes
0:1
Jan 7, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Ezcabarte vs Cortes
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Ouboulkassem A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Ezcabarte Compare

Top Goalscorer Gonzalez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 22 / 100
Ezcabarte 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Ezcabarte

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ezcabarte Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cortes scored in 63% of their last 30 games.

Ezcabarte's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Ezcabarte's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS Ezcabarte
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
2.38 Goals Conceded 2
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
03 May
Cortes
0 : 1
Pamplona
26 Apr
Cirbonero
2 : 2
Cortes
Page 1 of 6

Ezcabarte

(Away)
05 Sept
Ezcabarte
4 : 0
Txantrea
14 Aug
AD San Juan
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
09 May
CD Beti Onak
2 : 1
Ezcabarte
03 May
Ezcabarte
1 : 3
Aoiz
25 Apr
Ezcabarte
3 : 4
CD Ardoi
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pena 34 24 5 5 65:39 77
2 Pamplona 34 22 8 4 65:28 74
3 Izarra 34 16 13 5 64:31 61
4 Subiza 34 15 9 10 46:31 54
5 AD San Juan 34 12 16 6 43:28 52
6 Huarte 34 15 2 17 49:47 47
7 Beti Kozkor 34 12 10 12 50:43 46
8 Ezcabarte 34 12 9 13 47:49 45
9 Cortes 34 13 5 16 37:51 44
10 Cirbonero 34 11 10 13 38:42 43
11 Txantrea 34 12 7 15 52:67 43
12 Valle Egues 34 11 9 14 48:57 42
13 Bidezarra 34 10 9 15 34:40 39
14 Aoiz 34 9 9 16 41:49 36
15 CD Beti Onak 34 9 9 16 42:55 36
16 CD Ardoi 34 8 12 14 46:56 36
17 Oberena 34 7 10 17 32:61 31
18 CA Artajones 34 7 10 17 36:61 31
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2025/2026 (Play Offs)