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Cortes vs Lerines

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Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024
Our Tip

Match Events

41' Event
Fuentes H.
66' Event
Puertas A.
(Penalty)
90' Event
Lahuerta G.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 game between Cortes and Lerines finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Cortes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

26%
Cortes
35%
Draws
39%
Lerines
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Lerines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

39% / Low Confidence
  • Cortes carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Lerines's way, sitting at 40%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Cortes Clean Sheet 16%
Lerines Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Cortes Lerines
Matches Played 38 30
Wins 16 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 1.32 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.8
Expected Goals (xG) 1.29 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Cortes vs Lerines
3:0
Nov 18, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 15
Lerines vs Cortes
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Cortes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fuentes H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lahuerta G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65

Lerines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Cortes 28 / 100
Lerines 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Cortes Lerines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Lerines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lerines let in goals in 97% of their last 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: Cortes scored in 68% of their last 38 outings.

H2H data points to 2.00 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Cortes remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Cortes VS -
1.38 Goals Scored 0
1.88 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Cortes

(Home)
26 Sept
Cortes
0 : 0
Pamplona
19 Sept
Beti Kozkor
1 : 0
Cortes
12 Sept
Cortes
2 : 0
Bidezarra
05 Sept
AD San Juan
5 : 0
Cortes
09 May
Txantrea
3 : 1
Cortes
Page 1 of 8

Lerines

(Away)
11 May
Lerines
1 : 1
CD Beti Onak
04 May
Alesves
1 : 3
Lerines
01 May
Lerines
2 : 2
Ezcabarte
27 Apr
Beti Kozkor
2 : 0
Lerines
20 Apr
Lerines
4 : 4
Pena
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Subiza 34 20 8 6 68:29 68
2 Cortes 34 17 12 5 40:23 63
3 CD Ardoi 34 18 8 8 49:23 62
4 Pena 34 14 15 5 53:39 57
5 Huarte 34 16 6 12 51:47 54
6 CD Cantolagua 34 15 9 10 55:45 54
7 CD Beti Onak 34 15 5 14 47:50 50
8 Cirbonero 34 12 8 14 46:49 44
9 Txantrea 34 11 9 14 34:36 42
10 Pamplona 34 10 12 12 45:45 42
11 Beti Kozkor 34 11 9 14 35:43 42
12 Bidezarra 34 9 15 10 42:38 42
13 Burlades 34 11 8 15 35:47 41
14 Oberena 34 11 7 16 43:49 40
15 Ezcabarte 34 10 10 14 42:51 40
16 Lagunak 34 8 10 16 35:52 34
17 Lerines 34 9 7 18 34:59 34
18 Alesves 34 7 6 21 34:63 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 15 2023/2024 (Play Offs)